Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #21,564 of 84,120 nationally
Annandale Terrace Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 51059452200 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 6,407 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
51059452200 is a census tract in the Annandale Terrace area of Annandale, VA. It scores 5.7/10 for landlords. It is home to 6,407 residents. Severe burden reaches 42%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 56%
Tract context
Occupied units2,006
Renter share44.1%
SVI overall0.90
Poverty rate12.4%
Median income$102,794
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
84
th percentile
High
Within state
91
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Annandale and the region
Centroid at 38.8220, -77.2092 · click any tract to drill in
Why Annandale Terrace scores 5.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Annandale
8.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
12.4% poverty · this tract
3.1
Supply constraint
$1,731 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Annandale
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Annandale
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Annandale
6.8
How Annandale Terrace compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 90
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 77%Socioeconomic
- 75%Household composition
- 86%Racial/ethnic minority
- 94%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 524Total filings over 4 yrs
- 13.65%Avg annual filing rate
- 16.8%Peak (2012)
- 135Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 15.2%Housing insecurity
- 8.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 20.4%Food insecurity
- 14.5%SNAP enrollment
- 9.8%Transit barriers
- 14.8%No health insurance
- 14.5%Frequent mental distress
- 30.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Annandale Terrace
Against Fairfax County at 41.0%, 64% of renters here are cost-burdened. What pushes it up most is local political climate at 8.4/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.2/10.
Against the Fairfax County average of 4.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.5/10.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 524 filings here across 4 tracked years. At $1,731 a month, rents run 10% under what the rest of Annandale commands.
Filings peaked in 2012 at 16.8% of renter households. In a typical year about 13.6% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #21,564 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Social vulnerability reads 9.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $102,794.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 51059452200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059452200?
Census tract 51059452200 in the Annandale Terrace neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51059452200?
Median gross rent is $1,731/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059452200?
12.4% of residents in tract 51059452200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,407.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059452200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 90th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 77th, household 75th, minority 86th, housing 94th.
Q5
Is tract 51059452200 considered part of Annandale Terrace?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059452200 fall within Annandale Terrace (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059452200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 524 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51059452200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.65% of renter households, peaking at 16.8% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51059452200 struggle to pay rent?
About 15.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51059452200 compare to Annandale overall?
Tract 51059452200 scores 5.7/10, higher than the parent city of Annandale at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Annandale eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Annandale
Top eight tracts in Annandale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Accotink Heights
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Ravensworth Grove
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Kenwood
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Wilburdale
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Sleepy Hollow Run
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Kenwood
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Hillbrook
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Columbia Pines
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Related