Neighborhood · Ranked #11,747 of 84,120 nationally

Accotink Heights Eviction Risk: Elevated , Annandale

Tract 51059452301 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 3,378 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Census tract 51059452301 sits in the Accotink Heights neighborhood of Annandale, Virginia. It has a population of 3,378 and an eviction-risk score of 6.4/10 (Elevated tier). 63% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 33% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $1,513/month against a median household income of $56,442 — roughly 32% rent-to-income at the medians.

Risk score

6.4

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 36% Stable renters 21% Owners 43%

Tract context

Occupied units1,409

Renter share57.2%

SVI overall0.78

Poverty rate18.4%

Median income$56,442

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Annandale and the region

Centroid at 38.8297, -77.2153 · click any tract to drill in

Why Accotink Heights scores 6.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Annandale

8.4

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.1

State political climate

Virginia legislature & governorship

3.2

Economic stress

18.4% poverty · this tract

4.6

Supply constraint

$1,513 rent vs county FMR

1.5

Rent control risk

Inherited from Annandale

8.2

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.3

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Annandale

7.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Annandale

6.8

How Accotink Heights compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 78

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

80%Socioeconomic
73%Household composition
86%Racial/ethnic minority
55%Housing & transportation

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

113Total filings over 4 yrs
4.22%Avg annual filing rate
5.6%Peak (2016)
36Filings in 2016 (latest validated)

Filings by year 2011 — 2016

Filings climbed 44% over the past 4 months.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

15.2%Housing insecurity
9.2%Utility-shutoff threat
22.0%Food insecurity
16.2%SNAP enrollment
10.2%Transit barriers
14.2%No health insurance
14.3%Frequent mental distress
31.0%Any disability

Frequently asked

About tract 51059452301

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059452301?

Census tract 51059452301 in the Accotink Heights neighborhood scores 6.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 51059452301?

Median gross rent is $1,513/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 51059452301?

18.4% of residents in tract 51059452301 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,378.

How socially vulnerable is tract 51059452301?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 78th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 80th, household 73th, minority 86th, housing 55th.

Is tract 51059452301 considered part of Accotink Heights?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059452301 fall within Accotink Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059452301?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 113 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51059452301 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.22% of renter households, peaking at 5.6% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

What share of households in tract 51059452301 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.2% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 51059452301 compare to Annandale overall?

Tract 51059452301 scores 6.4/10 — higher than the parent city of Annandale at 5.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Annandale eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Annandale

Top eight tracts in Annandale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.