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Neighborhood · Ranked #42,813 of 84,120 nationally

Kenwood Eviction Risk: Moderate , Annandale

Tract 51059450800 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 3,737 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Census tract 51059450800 covers part of the Kenwood area of Annandale, VA, and scores 4.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. Cost burden runs 67% here against 41.0% across Fairfax County.

Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 3% Owners 90%
Tract context
Occupied units1,289
Renter share10.6%
SVI overall0.42
Poverty rate5.2%
Median income$124,135

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Kenwood
Very Low
Within parent city
44 th percentile
Rank, 44th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 10 tracts In Annandale
Moderate
Within county
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#92 of 274 tracts In Fairfax County
Elevated
Within state
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#800 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Annandale and the region

Centroid at 38.8412, -77.1942 · click any tract to drill in

Why Kenwood scores 4.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Annandale
8.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
5.2% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$3,207 rent vs county FMR
8.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Annandale
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Annandale
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Annandale
6.8

How Kenwood compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Kenwood risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.44.4This tracttract 450800Annandale: 4.54.5Annandaleparent cityCounty: 4.34.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.24.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 42

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 25Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 3.28%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.7%Peak (2016)
  • 9Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2011 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 510594508002011: 4 filings (1.85/100 renter HHs)2012: 8 filings (3.70/100 renter HHs)2013: 4 filings (1.85/100 renter HHs)2016: 9 filings (5.73/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 125% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Kenwood. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Kenwood

At $3,207 a month, rents run 66% over what the rest of Annandale commands. The voucher gap is 38.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

What pushes it up most is supply constraint at 8.9/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.3/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.4/10.

The filing record is not thin: 25 evictions over 4 years of observation. SNAP participation runs 7.1% against 15.2% nationally.

The worst year on record was 2016, when 5.7% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 3.3% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 49% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Only 11% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 4.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

It tracks the Fairfax County average of 4.3 closely. Annual rent works out to 31% of average household income of $124,135.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 51059450800

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059450800?

Census tract 51059450800 in the Kenwood neighborhood scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51059450800?

Median gross rent is $3,207/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 67% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51059450800?

5.2% of residents in tract 51059450800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,737.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51059450800?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 42th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 41th, household 34th, minority 72th, housing 41th.
Q5

Is tract 51059450800 considered part of Kenwood?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059450800 fall within Kenwood (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059450800?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 25 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51059450800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.28% of renter households, peaking at 5.7% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51059450800 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51059450800 compare to Annandale overall?

Tract 51059450800 scores 4.4/10, right in line with the parent city of Annandale at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Annandale eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Annandale

Top eight tracts in Annandale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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