Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #47,371 of 84,120 nationally
Columbia Pines Eviction Risk: Moderate , Annandale
Tract 51059451000 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 3,143 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
51059451000 is a census tract in the Columbia Pines area of Annandale, VA. It scores 4.1/10 for landlords. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1.2/10.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3%
Stable renters 4%
Owners 93%
Tract context
Occupied units982
Renter share7.1%
SVI overall0.35
Poverty rate4.6%
Median income$170,568
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
11
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
58
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
55
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Annandale and the region
Centroid at 38.8417, -77.1827 · click any tract to drill in
Why Columbia Pines scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Annandale
8.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
4.6% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$2,449 rent vs county FMR
5.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Annandale
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Annandale
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Annandale
6.8
How Columbia Pines compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 35
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 33%Socioeconomic
- 49%Household composition
- 58%Racial/ethnic minority
- 28%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 11Total filings over 4 yrs
- 3.04%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.2%Peak (2011)
- 3Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 25% over the past 4 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.0%Housing insecurity
- 4.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.3%Food insecurity
- 5.2%SNAP enrollment
- 4.7%Transit barriers
- 7.7%No health insurance
- 11.5%Frequent mental distress
- 24.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Columbia Pines
Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.4/10. At $2,449 a month, rents run 27% over what the rest of Annandale commands. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.2/10.
The severe-burden share is 16%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. roughly one in two of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Fairfax County average of 41.0%.
SNAP participation runs 5.2% against 15.2% nationally. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 11 filings here across 4 tracked years.
Housing insecurity runs 7.0% against 14.2% nationally. Filings peaked in 2011 at 4.2% of renter households.
In a typical year about 3.0% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 44th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51059451000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059451000?
Census tract 51059451000 in the Columbia Pines neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51059451000?
Median gross rent is $2,449/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059451000?
4.6% of residents in tract 51059451000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,143.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059451000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 35th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 33th, household 49th, minority 58th, housing 28th.
Q5
Is tract 51059451000 considered part of Columbia Pines?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059451000 fall within Columbia Pines (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059451000?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 11 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51059451000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.04% of renter households, peaking at 4.2% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51059451000 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51059451000 compare to Annandale overall?
Tract 51059451000 scores 4.1/10, lower than the parent city of Annandale at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Annandale eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Annandale
Top eight tracts in Annandale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Kenwood
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Accotink Heights
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Ravensworth Grove
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Annandale Terrace
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Wilburdale
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Kenwood
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Sleepy Hollow Run
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Hillbrook
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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