Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,494 of 84,120 nationally

Ravensworth Grove Eviction Risk: Elevated , Annandale

Tract 51059452302 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 5,129 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Census tract 51059452302 sits in the Ravensworth Grove neighborhood of Annandale, Virginia. It has a population of 5,129 and an eviction-risk score of 6.7/10 (Elevated tier). 74% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 46% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $1,958/month against a median household income of $69,129 — roughly 34% rent-to-income at the medians.

Risk score
6.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 41% Stable renters 15% Owners 44%
Tract context
Occupied units1,685
Renter share56.1%
SVI overall0.85
Poverty rate24.3%
Median income$69,129

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank — 50th percentileBottomTop
#1 of 1 tracts In Ravensworth Grove
Moderate
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank — 100th percentileBottomTop
#1 of 10 tracts In Annandale
Very High
Within county
99 th percentile
Rank — 99th percentileBottomTop
#3 of 274 tracts In Fairfax County
Very High
Within state
95 th percentile
Rank — 95th percentileBottomTop
#106 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Annandale and the region

Centroid at 38.8220, -77.2178 · click any tract to drill in

Why Ravensworth Grove scores 6.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Annandale
8.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
24.3% poverty · this tract
6.1
Supply constraint
$1,958 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Annandale
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Annandale
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Annandale
6.8

How Ravensworth Grove compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Ravensworth Grove risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.76.7This tracttract 452302Annandale: 5.15.1Annandaleparent cityCounty: 5.45.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.35.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 85

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,277Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 27.24%Avg annual filing rate
  • 39.2%Peak (2016)
  • 419Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2011 — 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 510594523022011: 224 filings (18.20/100 renter HHs)2012: 233 filings (18.93/100 renter HHs)2013: 401 filings (32.58/100 renter HHs)2016: 419 filings (39.23/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 87% over the past 4 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Frequently asked

About tract 51059452302

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059452302?

Census tract 51059452302 in the Ravensworth Grove neighborhood scores 6.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51059452302?

Median gross rent is $1,958/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 74% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51059452302?

24.3% of residents in tract 51059452302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,129.

Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51059452302?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 80th, minority 86th, housing 49th.

Q5

Is tract 51059452302 considered part of Ravensworth Grove?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059452302 fall within Ravensworth Grove (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059452302?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,277 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51059452302 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 27.24% of renter households, peaking at 39.2% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Q7

What share of households in tract 51059452302 struggle to pay rent?

About 25.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.1% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

Q8

How does tract 51059452302 compare to Annandale overall?

Tract 51059452302 scores 6.7/10 — higher than the parent city of Annandale at 5.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Annandale eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Annandale

Top eight tracts in Annandale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related