Ravensworth Grove Eviction Risk: Moderate , Annandale
Tract 51059452302 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 5,129 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
51059452302 is a census tract in the Ravensworth Grove area of Annandale, VA. It scores 5.9/10 for landlords. It is home to 5,129 residents. The severe-burden share is 46%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Annandale and the region
Centroid at 38.8220, -77.2178 · click any tract to drill in
Why Ravensworth Grove scores 5.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Ravensworth Grove compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 85
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 91%Socioeconomic
- 80%Household composition
- 86%Racial/ethnic minority
- 49%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,277Total filings over 4 yrs
- 27.24%Avg annual filing rate
- 39.2%Peak (2016)
- 419Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 25.1%Housing insecurity
- 15.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 34.1%Food insecurity
- 27.4%SNAP enrollment
- 16.2%Transit barriers
- 26.8%No health insurance
- 17.6%Frequent mental distress
- 36.0%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Ravensworth Grove
roughly three in four of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Fairfax County average of 41.0%. The score leans hardest on local political climate at 8.4/10.
Annualized rent equals 34% of average household income of $69,129, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.2/10.
Against the Fairfax County average of 4.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.6 points. The poverty rate is 24%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Housing insecurity runs 25.1% against 14.2% nationally. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.5/10.
Court records carry 1,277 eviction filings across 4 observed years. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 15.1% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
Filings peaked in 2016 at 39.2% of renter households. In a typical year about 27.2% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #19,618 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
About tract 51059452302
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059452302?
What is the average rent in tract 51059452302?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059452302?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059452302?
Is tract 51059452302 considered part of Ravensworth Grove?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059452302?
What share of households in tract 51059452302 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51059452302 compare to Annandale overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Annandale
Top eight tracts in Annandale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.