Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #15,434 of 84,120 nationally
Wilburdale Eviction Risk: Elevated , Annandale
Tract 51059452102 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 3,314 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Census tract 51059452102 sits in the Wilburdale neighborhood of Annandale, Virginia. It has a population of 3,314 and an eviction-risk score of 6.2/10 (Elevated tier). 51% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 22% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $2,124/month against a median household income of $124,911 — roughly 20% rent-to-income at the medians.
Risk score
6.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%
Stable renters 14%
Owners 72%
Tract context
Occupied units943
Renter share27.6%
SVI overall0.71
Poverty rate6.8%
Median income$124,911
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
44
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
92
th percentile
Very High
Within state
87
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Annandale and the region
Centroid at 38.8184, -77.1961 · click any tract to drill in
Why Wilburdale scores 6.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Annandale
8.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
6.8% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$2,124 rent vs county FMR
4.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Annandale
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Annandale
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Annandale
6.8
How Wilburdale compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 71
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 56%Socioeconomic
- 48%Household composition
- 74%Racial/ethnic minority
- 86%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 93Total filings over 4 yrs
- 6.10%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.4%Peak (2013)
- 18Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 22% over the past 4 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.2%Housing insecurity
- 5.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.5%Food insecurity
- 8.9%SNAP enrollment
- 7.0%Transit barriers
- 11.0%No health insurance
- 12.8%Frequent mental distress
- 28.9%Any disability
Frequently asked
About tract 51059452102
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059452102?
Census tract 51059452102 in the Wilburdale neighborhood scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51059452102?
Median gross rent is $2,124/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059452102?
6.8% of residents in tract 51059452102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,314.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059452102?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 71th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 56th, household 48th, minority 74th, housing 86th.
Q5
Is tract 51059452102 considered part of Wilburdale?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059452102 fall within Wilburdale (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059452102?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 93 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51059452102 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.10% of renter households, peaking at 7.4% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51059452102 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.9% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51059452102 compare to Annandale overall?
Tract 51059452102 scores 6.2/10 — higher than the parent city of Annandale at 5.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Annandale eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Annandale
Top eight tracts in Annandale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Ravensworth Grove
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Kenwood
6.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Accotink Heights
6.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Annandale Terrace
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Kenwood
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Columbia Pines
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Sleepy Hollow Run
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Hillbrook
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
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