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Neighborhood · Ranked #13,532 of 84,120 nationally

Kenwood Eviction Risk: Elevated , Annandale

Tract 51059450702 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 4,845 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Census tract 51059450702 sits in the Kenwood neighborhood of Annandale, Virginia. It has a population of 4,845 and an eviction-risk score of 6.3/10 (Elevated tier). 47% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 17% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $2,034/month against a median household income of $90,313 — roughly 27% rent-to-income at the medians.

Risk score
6.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 37% Stable renters 42% Owners 21%
Tract context
Occupied units1,419
Renter share78.5%
SVI overall0.84
Poverty rate12.2%
Median income$90,313

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank — 0th percentileBottomTop
#2 of 2 tracts In Kenwood
Very Low
Within parent city
67 th percentile
Rank — 67th percentileBottomTop
#4 of 10 tracts In Annandale
Elevated
Within county
95 th percentile
Rank — 95th percentileBottomTop
#15 of 274 tracts In Fairfax County
Very High
Within state
89 th percentile
Rank — 89th percentileBottomTop
#232 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Annandale and the region

Centroid at 38.8370, -77.2034 · click any tract to drill in

Why Kenwood scores 6.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Annandale
8.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
12.2% poverty · this tract
3.0
Supply constraint
$2,034 rent vs county FMR
3.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Annandale
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Annandale
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Annandale
6.8

How Kenwood compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Kenwood risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.36.3This tracttract 450702Annandale: 5.15.1Annandaleparent cityCounty: 5.45.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.35.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 84

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 451Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 9.97%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.3%Peak (2012)
  • 114Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2011 — 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 510594507022011: 117 filings (10.07/100 renter HHs)2012: 120 filings (10.33/100 renter HHs)2013: 100 filings (8.61/100 renter HHs)2016: 114 filings (10.85/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Kenwood. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Frequently asked

About tract 51059450702

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059450702?

Census tract 51059450702 in the Kenwood neighborhood scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51059450702?

Median gross rent is $2,034/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51059450702?

12.2% of residents in tract 51059450702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,845.

Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51059450702?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 82th, household 70th, minority 85th, housing 73th.

Q5

Is tract 51059450702 considered part of Kenwood?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059450702 fall within Kenwood (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).

Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059450702?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 451 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51059450702 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.97% of renter households, peaking at 10.3% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Q7

What share of households in tract 51059450702 struggle to pay rent?

About 18.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.8% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

Q8

How does tract 51059450702 compare to Annandale overall?

Tract 51059450702 scores 6.3/10 — higher than the parent city of Annandale at 5.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Annandale eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Annandale

Top eight tracts in Annandale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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