Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #79,124 of 84,120 nationally
Hillbrook Eviction Risk: Lower , Annandale
Tract 51059452101 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 5,238 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Eviction risk in the Hillbrook neighborhood of Annandale centers on tract 51059452101, which scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 5,238 residents. That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
38% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,553 a month against an average household income of $146,250 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. Renters make up 21% of occupied homes.
Risk score
1.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%
Stable renters 13%
Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units1,741
Renter share21.3%
SVI overall0.30
Poverty rate5.6%
Median income$146,250
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
22
th percentile
Low
Within county
66
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
22
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Annandale and the region
Centroid at 38.8235, -77.1844 · click any tract to drill in
Why Hillbrook scores 1.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Annandale
8.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
5.6% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$2,553 rent vs county FMR
6.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Annandale
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Annandale
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Annandale
6.8
How Hillbrook compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 30
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 25%Socioeconomic
- 70%Household composition
- 76%Racial/ethnic minority
- 12%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 141Total filings over 4 yrs
- 9.40%Avg annual filing rate
- 11.4%Peak (2012)
- 28Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 26% over the past 4 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.0%Housing insecurity
- 5.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.5%Food insecurity
- 6.6%SNAP enrollment
- 5.7%Transit barriers
- 8.4%No health insurance
- 12.4%Frequent mental distress
- 23.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Hillbrook
What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 8.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Annandale eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Fairfax County average of 5.4 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is White and Asian and ranks around the 30th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 141 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 9.4% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 11.4% of renter households in 2012.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 51059452101
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059452101?
Census tract 51059452101 in the Hillbrook neighborhood scores 1.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51059452101?
Median gross rent is $2,553/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059452101?
5.6% of residents in tract 51059452101 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,238.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059452101?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 30th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 25th, household 70th, minority 76th, housing 12th.
Q5
Is tract 51059452101 considered part of Hillbrook?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059452101 fall within Hillbrook (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059452101?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 141 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51059452101 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.40% of renter households, peaking at 11.4% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51059452101 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51059452101 compare to Annandale overall?
Tract 51059452101 scores 1.5/10, lower than the parent city of Annandale at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Annandale eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Annandale
Top eight tracts in Annandale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Ravensworth Grove
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Accotink Heights
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · VA
Kenwood
2.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · VA
Annandale Terrace
2.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · VA
Wilburdale
1.7
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · VA
Kenwood
1.6
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · VA
Sleepy Hollow Run
1.6
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · VA
Columbia Pines
1.4
/ 10 · Very Low
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