Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally
Hillbrook Eviction Risk: Moderate , Annandale
Tract 51059452101 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 5,238 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Census tract 51059452101 covers part of the Hillbrook area of Annandale, VA, and scores 4.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,238 residents. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.4/10.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%
Stable renters 13%
Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units1,741
Renter share21.3%
SVI overall0.30
Poverty rate5.6%
Median income$146,250
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
22
th percentile
Low
Within county
61
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
58
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Annandale and the region
Centroid at 38.8235, -77.1844 · click any tract to drill in
Why Hillbrook scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Annandale
8.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
5.6% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$2,553 rent vs county FMR
6.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Annandale
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Annandale
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Annandale
6.8
How Hillbrook compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 30
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 25%Socioeconomic
- 70%Household composition
- 76%Racial/ethnic minority
- 12%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 141Total filings over 4 yrs
- 9.40%Avg annual filing rate
- 11.4%Peak (2012)
- 28Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 26% over the past 4 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.0%Housing insecurity
- 5.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.5%Food insecurity
- 6.6%SNAP enrollment
- 5.7%Transit barriers
- 8.4%No health insurance
- 12.4%Frequent mental distress
- 23.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Hillbrook
Average gross rent is $2,553, 32% above the Annandale average. On the high side, local political climate reads 8.4/10.
Severe burden reaches 17%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.2/10. SNAP participation runs 6.6% against 15.2% nationally.
The filing record is not thin: 141 evictions over 4 years of observation. Food insecurity runs 10.5% against 17.8% nationally.
Filings peaked in 2012 at 11.4% of renter households. In a typical year about 9.4% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 46th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 21% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 51059452101
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059452101?
Census tract 51059452101 in the Hillbrook neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51059452101?
Median gross rent is $2,553/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059452101?
5.6% of residents in tract 51059452101 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,238.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059452101?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 30th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 25th, household 70th, minority 76th, housing 12th.
Q5
Is tract 51059452101 considered part of Hillbrook?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059452101 fall within Hillbrook (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059452101?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 141 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51059452101 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.40% of renter households, peaking at 11.4% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51059452101 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51059452101 compare to Annandale overall?
Tract 51059452101 scores 4.2/10, lower than the parent city of Annandale at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Annandale eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Annandale
Top eight tracts in Annandale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Kenwood
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Accotink Heights
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Ravensworth Grove
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Annandale Terrace
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Wilburdale
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Kenwood
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Sleepy Hollow Run
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Columbia Pines
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
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