Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #78,212 of 84,120 nationally
Sleepy Hollow Run Eviction Risk: Lower , Annandale
Tract 51059452000 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 2,947 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Census tract 51059452000 belongs to Sleepy Hollow Run in Annandale, Virginia. It is home to 2,947 residents and scores 6.1/10, an elevated reading for landlords. It lands near the 77th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 42% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 28% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average household income is about $159,531 a year. About 22% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
1.6
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%
Stable renters 13%
Owners 78%
Tract context
Occupied units990
Renter share22.1%
SVI overall0.55
Poverty rate7.4%
Median income$159,531
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
44
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
76
th percentile
High
Within state
25
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Annandale and the region
Centroid at 38.8341, -77.1741 · click any tract to drill in
Why Sleepy Hollow Run scores 1.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Annandale
8.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
7.4% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Annandale
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Annandale
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Annandale
6.8
How Sleepy Hollow Run compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 55
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 16%Socioeconomic
- 78%Household composition
- 70%Racial/ethnic minority
- 81%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 26Total filings over 4 yrs
- 1.74%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.5%Peak (2012)
- 2Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 67% over the past 4 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.6%Housing insecurity
- 6.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.5%Food insecurity
- 9.7%SNAP enrollment
- 6.8%Transit barriers
- 9.8%No health insurance
- 12.2%Frequent mental distress
- 30.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Sleepy Hollow Run
The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 8.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Annandale eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Fairfax County average of 5.4 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 9.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 26 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 1.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 3.5% of renter households in 2012.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 51059452000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059452000?
Census tract 51059452000 in the Sleepy Hollow Run neighborhood scores 1.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059452000?
7.4% of residents in tract 51059452000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,947.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059452000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 55th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 16th, household 78th, minority 70th, housing 81th.
Q4
Is tract 51059452000 considered part of Sleepy Hollow Run?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059452000 fall within Sleepy Hollow Run (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059452000?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 26 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51059452000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.74% of renter households, peaking at 3.5% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 51059452000 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51059452000 compare to Annandale overall?
Tract 51059452000 scores 1.6/10, lower than the parent city of Annandale at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Annandale eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Annandale
Top eight tracts in Annandale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Ravensworth Grove
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Accotink Heights
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · VA
Kenwood
2.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · VA
Annandale Terrace
2.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · VA
Wilburdale
1.7
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · VA
Kenwood
1.6
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · VA
Hillbrook
1.5
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · VA
Columbia Pines
1.4
/ 10 · Very Low
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