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Neighborhood · Crosspointe, VA

Lorfax Heights Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 6,986 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.1/10 · range 3–3.3

Lorfax Heights takes in 2 census tracts of Crosspointe, VA, population 6,986. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 3.1/10, Lower tier. Cost burden runs 73% against 17.6% citywide, putting Lorfax Heights 55.4% over its own city.

At $1,405 a month, rents sit 60% under what the rest of Crosspointe commands. The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1/10.

Running cool is rent-regulation exposure, at 2.1/10. On the softer side is housing-court posture, at 2.3/10.

Filings are well documented here: 34 across 2 observed tracts. SNAP participation is 4.0% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Severe burden reaches 10%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

3.8% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, below a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The voucher gap is 12.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.

The worst year on record was 2013, when filings touched 13.0% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 4.6% in 2016, is well off that peak.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
3.1
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Lorfax Heights vs Crosspointe How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
73.0% +315%
Crosspointe: 17.6%
Average gross rent
$1,405 -60%
Crosspointe: $3,501
Average HH income
$191,426 -23%
Crosspointe: $247,708
Poverty rate
2.5% -26%
Crosspointe: 3.4%
Renter share
6.0% +64%
Crosspointe: 3.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lorfax Heights and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3–3.3

Why Lorfax Heights scores 3.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.4–7.4 across tracts
7.4
Rent control risk
73% of income on rent · Range 1.6–2.7 across tracts
2.1
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.9–3.1 across tracts
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
6% renter households · Range 2.0–3.0 across tracts
2.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.0–2.7 across tracts
2.3
Economic stress
2.5% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.0–7.5 across tracts
6.2
Risk score comparison

Lorfax Heights vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Lorfax Heights score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.1Lorfax HeightsNeighborhood3.4Parent cityhost city4.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Lorfax Heights

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
51059492300 3.3 3,390 44% $2,896
51059492203 3 3,596 100% ,
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 4

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 9%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 33%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 57%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 0%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Lorfax Heights

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 34Total filings (sum)
  • 5.46%Avg annual filing rate
  • 13.0%Peak year (2013)
  • 4.49%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Lorfax Heights

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Lorfax Heights

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Lorfax Heights?

Lorfax Heights scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Lorfax Heights compare to Crosspointe overall?

Lorfax Heights scores 0.3 points lower than Crosspointe overall (3.4/10). Renters spend 73% of income on rent vs 18% citywide. Average rent: $1,405 vs $3,501.
Q3

What is the average rent in Lorfax Heights?

Average gross rent in Lorfax Heights is $1,405/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 73% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Lorfax Heights residents are renters?

6% of Lorfax Heights households are renter-occupied (vs 4% in Crosspointe). The neighborhood has 6,986 residents.
Q5

Is Lorfax Heights a high social-vulnerability area?

Lorfax Heights sits in the 4th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Lorfax Heights have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Lorfax Heights is census tract 51059492300 (score 3.3/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 3.3, a spread of 0.3 points.
Q7

How safe is Lorfax Heights for landlords?

Lorfax Heights carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.1/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Crosspointe as a whole (3.4/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Lorfax Heights?

Lorfax Heights has 6,993 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (57.4%), Hispanic / Latino (14.3%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (12.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Lorfax Heights

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