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Neighborhood · Crosspointe, VA

Lorfax Heights Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 6,986 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.1/10 · range 3–3.3

Lorfax Heights takes in 2 census tracts of Crosspointe, VA, population 6,986. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 3.1/10, Lower tier. Cost burden runs 73% against 17.6% citywide, putting Lorfax Heights 55.4% over its own city.

At $1,405 a month, rents sit 60% under what the rest of Crosspointe commands. The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1/10.

Running cool is rent-regulation exposure, at 2.1/10. On the softer side is housing-court posture, at 2.3/10.

Filings are well documented here: 34 across 2 observed tracts. SNAP participation is 4.0% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Severe burden reaches 10%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

3.8% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, below a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The voucher gap is 12.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.

The worst year on record was 2013, when filings touched 13.0% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 4.6% in 2016, is well off that peak.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
3.1
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Lorfax Heights vs Crosspointe How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
73.0% +315%
Crosspointe: 17.6%
Average gross rent
$1,405 -60%
Crosspointe: $3,501
Average HH income
$191,426 -23%
Crosspointe: $247,708
Poverty rate
2.5% -26%
Crosspointe: 3.4%
Renter share
6.0% +64%
Crosspointe: 3.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lorfax Heights and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3–3.3

Why Lorfax Heights scores 3.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.4–7.4 across tracts
7.4
Rent control risk
73% of income on rent · Range 1.6–2.7 across tracts
2.1
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.9–3.1 across tracts
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
6% renter households · Range 2.0–3.0 across tracts
2.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.0–2.7 across tracts
2.3
Economic stress
2.5% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.0–7.5 across tracts
6.2
Risk score comparison

Lorfax Heights vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Lorfax Heights score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Lorfax Heights: 3.13.1Lorfax HeightsNeighborhoodParent city: 3.43.4Parent cityhost cityState: 4.34.3Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Lorfax Heights

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51059492300 3.3 3,390 44% $2,896
51059492203 3 3,596 100%
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 4

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 9%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 33%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 57%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 0%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Lorfax Heights

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 34Total filings (sum)
  • 5.46%Avg annual filing rate
  • 13.0%Peak year (2013)
  • 4.49%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Lorfax Heights

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Lorfax Heights

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Lorfax Heights?

Lorfax Heights scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Lorfax Heights compare to Crosspointe overall?

Lorfax Heights scores 0.3 points lower than Crosspointe overall (3.4/10). Renters spend 73% of income on rent vs 18% citywide. Average rent: $1,405 vs $3,501.
Q3

What is the average rent in Lorfax Heights?

Average gross rent in Lorfax Heights is $1,405/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 73% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Lorfax Heights residents are renters?

6% of Lorfax Heights households are renter-occupied (vs 4% in Crosspointe). The neighborhood has 6,986 residents.
Q5

Is Lorfax Heights a high social-vulnerability area?

Lorfax Heights sits in the 4th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Lorfax Heights have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Lorfax Heights is census tract 51059492300 (score 3.3/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 3.3, a spread of 0.3 points.
Q7

How safe is Lorfax Heights for landlords?

Lorfax Heights carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.1/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Crosspointe as a whole (3.4/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Lorfax Heights?

Lorfax Heights has 6,993 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (57.4%), Hispanic / Latino (14.3%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (12.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Lorfax Heights

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