Neighborhood · Fair Oaks, VA

Penderbrook Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 4,705 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 1.1/10 · range 1.1–1.1

Penderbrook is a white-asian neighborhood in Fair Oaks with 1 census tract and a population of 4,705 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 1.1/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 38% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 11% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,913/month sits 16% lower than the Fair Oaks citywide average ($2,275).

Risk score

1.1

Lower

1 tracts · population-weighted

Penderbrook vs Fair Oaks How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

37.9% +28%

Fair Oaks: 29.5%

Average gross rent

$1,913 -16%

Fair Oaks: $2,275

Average HH income

$134,429 +13%

Fair Oaks: $119,387

Poverty rate

3.1% -43%

Fair Oaks: 5.5%

Renter share

21.4% -61%

Fair Oaks: 55.3%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Penderbrook and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 1.1–1.1

Why Penderbrook scores 1.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts

3.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts

7.1

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts

7.2

Rent control risk

38% of income on rent · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts

6.1

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.3–3.3 across tracts

3.3

Tenant organizing strength

21% renter households · Range 9.5–9.5 across tracts

9.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 4.7–4.7 across tracts

4.7

Economic stress

3.1% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts

1.0

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.3–3.3 across tracts

3.3

Risk score comparison

Penderbrook vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Penderbrook

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
51059481702	1.1	4,705	38%	$1,913

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 15

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 9%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 30%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 73%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 17%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Penderbrook

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

37Total filings (sum)
1.54%Avg annual filing rate
2.0%Peak year (2016)
2.02%Latest filed (2016)

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Penderbrook

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

6.9%Housing insecurity
4.2%Utility shutoff threat
7.5%Food insecurity
4.6%SNAP enrollment
5.6%No health insurance
19.3%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Penderbrook

What is the eviction-risk score for Penderbrook?

Penderbrook scores 1.1/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Penderbrook compare to Fair Oaks overall?

Penderbrook scores 2.5 points lower than Fair Oaks overall (3.6/10). Renters spend 38% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $1,913 vs $2,275.

What is the average rent in Penderbrook?

Average gross rent in Penderbrook is $1,913/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Penderbrook residents are renters?

21% of Penderbrook households are renter-occupied (vs 55% in Fair Oaks). The neighborhood has 4,705 residents.

Is Penderbrook a high social-vulnerability area?

Penderbrook sits in the 15th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Penderbrook for landlords?

Penderbrook carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (1.1/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Fair Oaks as a whole (3.6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Penderbrook?

Penderbrook has 4,560 residents (White-Asian Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (40.9%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (39.8%), Hispanic / Latino (9.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Penderbrook

1.6 Penderlan 3 tracts · pop 11,322 1.6 Dixie Hill 2 tracts · pop 11,943 1.2 Penderwood 3 tracts · pop 12,953 1.1 Crystal Springs 2 tracts · pop 9,845 1.4 Greens of Fair Lakes 4 tracts · pop 19,124 1.8 Cobbdale 2 tracts · pop 6,936

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Fair Oaks

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Penderbrook.

1.4 Random Hills 1 tracts · pop 6,749 1.5 Penderlan 3 tracts · pop 11,322 1.6 Dixie Hill 2 tracts · pop 11,943

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