Neighborhood · Franconia, VA

Mount Hebron Park Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 3,688 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.5/10 · range 5.5–5.5

Mount Hebron Park is a white-black neighborhood in Franconia with 1 census tract and a population of 3,688 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5.5/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 51% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 17% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Median gross rent of $2,681/month sits 3% higher than the Franconia citywide median ($2,605).

Risk score

5.5

Moderate

1 tracts · population-weighted

Mount Hebron Park vs Franconia How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

51.0% +131%

Franconia: 22.1%

Average gross rent

$2,681 +3%

Franconia: $2,605

Average HH income

$193,830 +28%

Franconia: $152,007

Poverty rate

3.6% +18%

Franconia: 3.0%

Renter share

7.6% -68%

Franconia: 24.0%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Mount Hebron Park and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.5–5.5

Why Mount Hebron Park scores 5.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts

3.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts

7.1

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 8.3–8.3 across tracts

8.3

Rent control risk

51% of income on rent · Range 3.1–3.1 across tracts

3.1

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.3–3.3 across tracts

3.3

Tenant organizing strength

8% renter households · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts

5.2

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 2.8–2.8 across tracts

2.8

Economic stress

3.6% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts

1.0

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 6.6–6.6 across tracts

6.6

Risk score comparison

Mount Hebron Park vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Mount Hebron Park

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
51059420201	5.5	3,688	51%	$2,681

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 10

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 15%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 30%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 70%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 4%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Mount Hebron Park

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

20Total filings (sum)
4.84%Avg annual filing rate
12.3%Peak year (2016)
12.33%Latest filed (2016)

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Mount Hebron Park

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

8.3%Housing insecurity
5.0%Utility shutoff threat
9.0%Food insecurity
6.0%SNAP enrollment
6.7%No health insurance
21.2%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Mount Hebron Park

What is the eviction-risk score for Mount Hebron Park?

Mount Hebron Park scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Mount Hebron Park compare to Franconia overall?

Mount Hebron Park scores 0.1 points lower than Franconia overall (5.6/10). Renters spend 51% of income on rent vs 22% citywide. Median rent: $2,681 vs $2,605.

What is the average rent in Mount Hebron Park?

Median gross rent in Mount Hebron Park is $2,681/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Mount Hebron Park residents are renters?

8% of Mount Hebron Park households are renter-occupied (vs 24% in Franconia). The neighborhood has 3,688 residents.

Is Mount Hebron Park a high social-vulnerability area?

Mount Hebron Park sits in the 10th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Mount Hebron Park for landlords?

Mount Hebron Park carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.5/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Franconia as a whole (5.6/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.

What is the demographic breakdown of Mount Hebron Park?

Mount Hebron Park has 3,622 residents (White-Black Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (46.9%), Black (non-Hispanic) (22.7%), Hispanic / Latino (15.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Mount Hebron Park

5.0 Oakwood 2 tracts · pop 5,256 4.5 Guilford 2 tracts · pop 5,582 5.7 Walhaven 2 tracts · pop 12,020 5.9 Windsor Knoll 2 tracts · pop 6,289 6.1 Monticello Forest 2 tracts · pop 9,249 5.2 Pinecrest 3 tracts · pop 11,849

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Franconia

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Mount Hebron Park.

5.6 Walhaven 2 tracts · pop 12,020 5.0 Oakwood 2 tracts · pop 5,256 4.8 Amberleigh 1 tracts · pop 5,385 4.7 Springfield Forest 1 tracts · pop 2,723

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