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Neighborhood · Franconia, VA

Mount Hebron Park Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 3,688 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.5/10 · range 3.5–3.5

Mount Hebron Park maps to a single census tract in Franconia, VA, population 3,688. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 3.5/10, Lower tier. Against a Franconia baseline of 22.1%, 51% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

The clearest offset is economic stress, at 1/10. The severe-burden share is 17%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. The voucher gap is 15.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.

Running cool is housing-court posture, at 2.8/10. Court records for this tract carry 20 eviction filings. SNAP participation is 6.0% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

The worst year on record was 2016, when filings touched 12.3% of renter households. Food insecurity affects 9.0% of adults, 8.8 points below the national rate.

Among the 5 mapped neighborhoods of Franconia, it ranks #2 by risk, the middle third. Judgments average 3.5% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. Only 8% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 3.5/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3.5
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Mount Hebron Park vs Franconia How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
51.0% +131%
Franconia: 22.1%
Average gross rent
$2,681 +3%
Franconia: $2,605
Average HH income
$193,830 +28%
Franconia: $152,007
Poverty rate
3.6% +18%
Franconia: 3.0%
Renter share
7.6% -68%
Franconia: 24.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Mount Hebron Park and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3.5–3.5

Why Mount Hebron Park scores 3.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.3–8.3 across tracts
8.3
Rent control risk
51% of income on rent · Range 3.1–3.1 across tracts
3.1
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.3–3.3 across tracts
3.3
Tenant organizing strength
8% renter households · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts
5.2
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.8–2.8 across tracts
2.8
Economic stress
3.6% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 6.6–6.6 across tracts
6.6
Risk score comparison

Mount Hebron Park vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Mount Hebron Park score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Mount Hebron Park: 3.53.5Mount Hebron ParkNeighborhoodParent city: 4.04.0Parent cityhost cityState: 4.34.3Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Mount Hebron Park

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51059420201 3.5 3,688 51% $2,681
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 10

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 15%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 30%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 70%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 4%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Mount Hebron Park

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 20Total filings (sum)
  • 4.84%Avg annual filing rate
  • 12.3%Peak year (2016)
  • 12.33%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Mount Hebron Park

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Mount Hebron Park

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Mount Hebron Park?

Mount Hebron Park scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Mount Hebron Park compare to Franconia overall?

Mount Hebron Park scores 0.5 points lower than Franconia overall (4/10). Renters spend 51% of income on rent vs 22% citywide. Average rent: $2,681 vs $2,605.
Q3

What is the average rent in Mount Hebron Park?

Average gross rent in Mount Hebron Park is $2,681/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Mount Hebron Park residents are renters?

8% of Mount Hebron Park households are renter-occupied (vs 24% in Franconia). The neighborhood has 3,688 residents.
Q5

Is Mount Hebron Park a high social-vulnerability area?

Mount Hebron Park sits in the 10th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Mount Hebron Park for landlords?

Mount Hebron Park carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.5/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Franconia as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Mount Hebron Park?

Mount Hebron Park has 3,622 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (46.9%), Black (non-Hispanic) (22.7%), Hispanic / Latino (15.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Mount Hebron Park

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Franconia

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Mount Hebron Park.

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