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Neighborhood · Franconia, VA

Springfield Forest Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 2,723 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.7/10 · range 4.7–4.7

Springfield Forest is a white-asian neighborhood in Franconia with 1 census tract and a population of 2,723 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.7/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 20% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 2% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Median gross rent of $2,825/month sits 8% higher than the Franconia citywide median ($2,605).

Risk score
4.7
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Springfield Forest vs Franconia How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
19.7% -11%
Franconia: 22.1%
Average gross rent
$2,825 +8%
Franconia: $2,605
Average HH income
$145,060 -5%
Franconia: $152,007
Poverty rate
0.5% -84%
Franconia: 3.0%
Renter share
21.9% -9%
Franconia: 24.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Springfield Forest and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.7–4.7

Why Springfield Forest scores 4.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.3–8.3 across tracts
8.3
Rent control risk
20% of income on rent · Range 3.1–3.1 across tracts
3.1
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.3–3.3 across tracts
3.3
Tenant organizing strength
22% renter households · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts
5.2
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.8–2.8 across tracts
2.8
Economic stress
0.5% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts
7.2
Risk score comparison

Springfield Forest vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Springfield Forest score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Springfield Forest: 4.74.7Springfield ForestNeighborhoodParent city: 5.65.6Parent cityhost cityState: 5.35.3Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.35.3U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Springfield Forest

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51059421001 4.7 2,723 20% $2,825
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 23

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 31%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 35%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 74%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 10%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Springfield Forest

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 31Total filings (sum)
  • 3.12%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.8%Peak year (2013)
  • 2.50%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Springfield Forest

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Springfield Forest

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Springfield Forest?

Springfield Forest scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

Q2

How does Springfield Forest compare to Franconia overall?

Springfield Forest scores 0.9 points lower than Franconia overall (5.6/10). Renters spend 20% of income on rent vs 22% citywide. Median rent: $2,825 vs $2,605.

Q3

What is the average rent in Springfield Forest?

Median gross rent in Springfield eviction risk Forest is $2,825/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 20% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q4

What percentage of Springfield Forest residents are renters?

22% of Springfield Forest households are renter-occupied (vs 24% in Franconia). The neighborhood has 2,723 residents.

Q5

Is Springfield Forest a high social-vulnerability area?

Springfield Forest sits in the 23th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Q6

How safe is Springfield Forest for landlords?

Springfield eviction risk Forest carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.7/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Franconia as a whole (5.6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Springfield Forest?

Springfield Forest has 2,788 residents (White-Asian Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (31.7%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (28.4%), Hispanic / Latino (25%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Springfield Forest

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Franconia

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Springfield Forest.

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