1 census tracts · pop 2,723 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.4/10
· range 3.4–3.4
Springfield Forest is a one-tract neighborhood of Franconia, VA, population 2,723. The Eviction Risk Score is 3.4/10, in the Lower tier. about one in five of renters spend 30% or more of household income on rent.
Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1/10. The voucher gap is 22.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.
On the softer side is housing-court posture, at 2.8/10. The filing record is not thin: 31 evictions logged in this tract. On the high side is supply constraint at 7.2/10.
SNAP participation is 6.0% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Filing activity peaked in 2013 at 4.8% of renter households. Food insecurity affects 9.4% of adults, 8.4 points below the national rate.
At $2,825 a month, rents sit 8% over what the rest of Franconia commands. The most recent observed rate, 2.5% in 2016, is well off that peak.
That places it #3 of 5 neighborhoods in Franconia. Only 22% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. For a like-for-like read, Amberleigh and Mount Hebron Park score within a fraction of it.
Because the boundary contains one tract, 3.4/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
3.4
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Springfield Forest vs FranconiaHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority74%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport10%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Springfield Forest
Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
31Total filings (sum)
3.12%Avg annual filing rate
4.8%Peak year (2013)
2.50%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Springfield Forest
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
8.8%Housing insecurity
5.2%Utility shutoff threat
9.4%Food insecurity
6.0%SNAP enrollment
7.4%No health insurance
21.9%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Springfield Forest
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Springfield Forest?
Springfield Forest scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Springfield Forest compare to Franconia overall?
Springfield Forest scores 0.6 points lower than Franconia overall (4/10). Renters spend 20% of income on rent vs 22% citywide. Average rent: $2,825 vs $2,605.
Q3
What is the average rent in Springfield Forest?
Average gross rent in Springfield eviction risk Forest is $2,825/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 20% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Springfield Forest residents are renters?
22% of Springfield Forest households are renter-occupied (vs 24% in Franconia). The neighborhood has 2,723 residents.
Q5
Is Springfield Forest a high social-vulnerability area?
Springfield Forest sits in the 23rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Springfield Forest for landlords?
Springfield eviction risk Forest carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.4/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Franconia as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Springfield Forest?
Springfield Forest has 2,788 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (31.7%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (28.4%), Hispanic / Latino (25%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
