Skip to content
Neighborhood · Bailey's Crossroads, VA

Skyline Eviction Risk: Elevated

1 census tracts · pop 2,869 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.3/10 · range 7.3–7.3

Skyline maps to a single census tract in Bailey's Crossroads, VA and houses 2,869 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 7.3/10, placing it in the Elevated tier. Cost burden runs 74% against 34.7% citywide, putting Skyline 38.9% over its own city.

What pushes the score up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.4/10. On the high side is rent-regulation exposure at 8.2/10. Running hot is housing-court posture at 8.2/10.

The severe-burden share is 12%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. The filing record is not thin: 51 evictions logged in this tract.

Filing activity peaked in 2016 at 3.8% of renter households. At $2,149 a month, rents sit 6% over what the rest of Bailey's Crossroads commands. Among the 4 mapped neighborhoods of Bailey's Crossroads, it ranks #3 by risk, the lower third.

Judgments average 1.1% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. At 18% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. For a like-for-like read, Courtland Park and Glen Forest score within a fraction of it.

Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $91,004.

One tract means one number: 7.3/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
7.3
Elevated
1 tracts · population-weighted
Skyline vs Bailey's Crossroads How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
73.6% +112%
Bailey's Crossroads: 34.7%
Average gross rent
$2,149 +6%
Bailey's Crossroads: $2,021
Average HH income
$91,004 +8%
Bailey's Crossroads: $84,241
Poverty rate
8.6% -60%
Bailey's Crossroads: 21.7%
Renter share
17.8% -66%
Bailey's Crossroads: 52.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Skyline and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 7.3–7.3

Why Skyline scores 7.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.4–8.4 across tracts
8.4
Rent control risk
74% of income on rent · Range 8.2–8.2 across tracts
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts
3.4
Tenant organizing strength
18% renter households · Range 9.4–9.4 across tracts
9.4
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 8.2–8.2 across tracts
8.2
Economic stress
8.6% below poverty line · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.3–4.3 across tracts
4.3
Risk score comparison

Skyline vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Skyline score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Skyline: 7.37.3SkylineNeighborhoodParent city: 6.36.3Parent cityhost cityState: 4.34.3Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Skyline

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51059452802 7.3 2,869 74% $2,149
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 62

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 37%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 85%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 74%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 61%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Skyline

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 51Total filings (sum)
  • 2.26%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.8%Peak year (2016)
  • 3.80%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Skyline

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Skyline

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Skyline?

Skyline scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Skyline compare to Bailey's Crossroads overall?

Skyline scores 1.0 points higher than Bailey's Crossroads overall (6.3/10). Renters spend 74% of income on rent vs 35% citywide. Average rent: $2,149 vs $2,021.
Q3

What is the average rent in Skyline?

Average gross rent in Skyline is $2,149/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 74% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Skyline residents are renters?

18% of Skyline households are renter-occupied (vs 52% in Bailey's Crossroads). The neighborhood has 2,869 residents.
Q5

Is Skyline a high social-vulnerability area?

Skyline sits in the 62nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Skyline for landlords?

Skyline carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Bailey's Crossroads as a whole (6.3/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Skyline?

Skyline has 2,986 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (32.7%), White (non-Hispanic) (32.3%), Other / Multiracial (18.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Skyline

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Bailey's Crossroads

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Skyline.

Zoom out

Up the geography chain · or explore further