Skip to content
Neighborhood · Lake Barcroft, VA

Malbrook Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 1,700 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.6/10 · range 3.6–3.6

Malbrook is a one-tract neighborhood of Lake Barcroft, VA, population 1,700. The Eviction Risk Score is 3.6/10, in the Lower tier. The severe-burden share is 40%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

Cost burden runs 51% against 29.0% citywide, putting Malbrook 22.1% over its own city. At $2,600 a month, rents sit 35% over what the rest of Lake Barcroft commands.

The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1/10. Food insecurity affects 4.8% of adults, 13.0 points below the national rate. SNAP participation is 3.0% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

Court records for this tract carry 1 eviction filings. Running cool is eviction-process difficulty, at 3/10. The voucher gap is 12.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.

Filing activity peaked in 2016 at 1.7% of renter households. Judgments average 1.7% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. At 7% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 3.6/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3.6
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Malbrook vs Lake Barcroft How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
51.1% +76%
Lake Barcroft: 29.0%
Average gross rent
$2,600 +35%
Lake Barcroft: $1,923
Average HH income
$197,188 +37%
Lake Barcroft: $143,796
Poverty rate
0.4% -92%
Lake Barcroft: 5.0%
Renter share
7.2% -77%
Lake Barcroft: 31.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Malbrook and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3.6–3.6

Why Malbrook scores 3.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.4–8.4 across tracts
8.4
Rent control risk
51% of income on rent · Range 5.4–5.4 across tracts
5.4
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
7% renter households · Range 6.6–6.6 across tracts
6.6
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.3–4.3 across tracts
4.3
Economic stress
0.4% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts
6.2
Risk score comparison

Malbrook vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Malbrook score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Malbrook: 3.63.6MalbrookNeighborhoodParent city: 4.14.1Parent cityhost cityState: 4.34.3Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Malbrook

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51059451200 3.6 1,700 51% $2,600
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 2

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 2%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 29%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 33%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 2%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Malbrook

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1Total filings (sum)
  • 1.67%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.7%Peak year (2016)
  • 1.67%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Malbrook

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Malbrook

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Malbrook?

Malbrook scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Malbrook compare to Lake Barcroft overall?

Malbrook scores 0.5 points lower than Lake Barcroft overall (4.1/10). Renters spend 51% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $2,600 vs $1,923.
Q3

What is the average rent in Malbrook?

Average gross rent in Malbrook is $2,600/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Malbrook residents are renters?

7% of Malbrook households are renter-occupied (vs 32% in Lake Barcroft). The neighborhood has 1,700 residents.
Q5

Is Malbrook a high social-vulnerability area?

Malbrook sits in the 2nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Malbrook for landlords?

Malbrook carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.6/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Lake Barcroft as a whole (4.1/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Malbrook?

Malbrook has 1,858 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (76.3%), Hispanic / Latino (10.3%), Other / Multiracial (7.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Malbrook

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Lake Barcroft

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Malbrook.

Zoom out

Up the geography chain · or explore further