1 census tracts · pop 4,338 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6/10
· range 6–6
Lincolnia Park maps to a single census tract in Lincolnia, VA, population 4,338. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 6/10, in the Elevated tier. 65% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well clear of the Lincolnia rate of 30.9%.
Severe burden reaches 37%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8.6/10. This is a renter market: 76% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
The filing record is not thin: 891 evictions logged in this tract. The poverty rate is 18%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. On the softer side is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.9/10.
Filing activity peaked in 2011 at 21.6% of renter households. Average gross rent is $1,945, 9% below the Lincolnia average of $2,141. Recent filings have not receded much: 14.4% in 2016 against a 21.6% peak.
Annual rent works out to 31% of average household income of $75,718.
One tract means one number: 6/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
6
Elevated
1 tracts · population-weighted
Lincolnia Park vs LincolniaHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority87%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport51%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Lincolnia Park
Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
891Total filings (sum)
17.97%Avg annual filing rate
21.6%Peak year (2011)
14.44%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Lincolnia Park
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
18.6%Housing insecurity
11.6%Utility shutoff threat
22.8%Food insecurity
17.7%SNAP enrollment
15.1%No health insurance
29.4%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Lincolnia Park
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Lincolnia Park?
Lincolnia Park scores 6/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Lincolnia Park compare to Lincolnia overall?
Lincolnia Park scores 1.4 points higher than Lincolnia overall (4.6/10). Renters spend 65% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,945 vs $2,141.
Q3
What is the average rent in Lincolnia Park?
Average gross rent in Lincolnia Park is $1,945/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Lincolnia Park residents are renters?
76% of Lincolnia Park households are renter-occupied (vs 43% in Lincolnia). The neighborhood has 4,338 residents.
Q5
Is Lincolnia Park a high social-vulnerability area?
Lincolnia Park sits in the 70th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Lincolnia Park for landlords?
Lincolnia Park carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Lincolnia as a whole (4.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Lincolnia Park?
Lincolnia Park has 4,502 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (34.4%), Hispanic / Latino (30.3%), White (non-Hispanic) (13.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
