Neighborhood · Lorton, VA

Gunston Heights Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 6,932 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 1.2/10 · range 1.2–1.2

Gunston Heights is a black-white neighborhood in Lorton with 1 census tract and a population of 6,932 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 1.2/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 30% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 3% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $2,104/month sits 17% lower than the Lorton citywide average ($2,548).

Risk score

1.2

Lower

1 tracts · population-weighted

Gunston Heights vs Lorton How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

29.8% -7%

Lorton: 32.2%

Average gross rent

$2,104 -17%

Lorton: $2,548

Average HH income

$153,536 +12%

Lorton: $136,719

Poverty rate

4.6% -52%

Lorton: 9.5%

Renter share

23.8% -33%

Lorton: 35.7%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Gunston Heights and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 1.2–1.2

Why Gunston Heights scores 1.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts

3.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts

7.1

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 7.4–7.4 across tracts

7.4

Rent control risk

30% of income on rent · Range 6.4–6.4 across tracts

6.4

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.9–2.9 across tracts

2.9

Tenant organizing strength

24% renter households · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts

7.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts

5.7

Economic stress

4.6% below poverty line · Range 1.2–1.2 across tracts

1.2

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.1–4.1 across tracts

4.1

Risk score comparison

Gunston Heights vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Gunston Heights

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
51059422102	1.2	6,932	30%	$2,104

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 38

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 26%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 61%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 84%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 26%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Gunston Heights

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

464Total filings (sum)
14.72%Avg annual filing rate
16.2%Peak year (2011)
17.02%Latest filed (2016)

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Gunston Heights

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

12.5%Housing insecurity
7.5%Utility shutoff threat
13.7%Food insecurity
9.5%SNAP enrollment
8.8%No health insurance
23.2%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Gunston Heights

What is the eviction-risk score for Gunston Heights?

Gunston Heights scores 1.2/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Gunston Heights compare to Lorton overall?

Gunston Heights scores 2.5 points lower than Lorton overall (3.7/10). Renters spend 30% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $2,104 vs $2,548.

What is the average rent in Gunston Heights?

Average gross rent in Gunston Heights is $2,104/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Gunston Heights residents are renters?

24% of Gunston Heights households are renter-occupied (vs 36% in Lorton). The neighborhood has 6,932 residents.

Is Gunston Heights a high social-vulnerability area?

Gunston Heights sits in the 38th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Gunston Heights for landlords?

Gunston Heights carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (1.2/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Lorton as a whole (3.7/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Gunston Heights?

Gunston Heights has 6,726 residents (Black-White Neighborhood). Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (43.3%), White (non-Hispanic) (23.2%), Hispanic / Latino (15.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Gunston Heights

1.2 Liberty 2 tracts · pop 11,149 1.4 Springfield Oaks 2 tracts · pop 8,219 1.1 Lorfax Heights 2 tracts · pop 6,986 1.4 Rollingwood 2 tracts · pop 2,163 1.1 Pohick Hills 2 tracts · pop 8,257 2.7 Lewis Village 2 tracts · pop 10,282

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Lorton

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Gunston Heights.

1.4 Springfield Oaks 2 tracts · pop 8,219 2.3 Laurel Crest 1 tracts · pop 7,070

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