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Neighborhood · Newington Forest, VA

Spring Hill Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 4,663 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.7/10 · range 3.7–3.7

Spring Hill is a one-tract neighborhood of Newington Forest, VA and houses 4,663 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 3.7/10, in the Lower tier. Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1.7/10.

roughly one in three of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, above the Newington Forest rate of 26.1%. On the softer side is rent-regulation exposure, at 2.7/10.

Court records for this tract carry 38 eviction filings. Running cool is housing-court posture, at 2.7/10. The severe-burden share is 9%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

Filing activity peaked in 2011 at 3.5% of renter households. Recent filings have not receded much: 4.1% in 2016 against a 3.5% peak.

At 14% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. Poverty sits at 7%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Average gross rent runs $2,544, close to the Newington Forest average.

Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $131,135.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 3.7/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
3.7
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Spring Hill vs Newington Forest How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
31.9% +22%
Newington Forest: 26.1%
Average gross rent
$2,544 -3%
Newington Forest: $2,618
Average HH income
$131,135 -11%
Newington Forest: $147,650
Poverty rate
6.9% +90%
Newington Forest: 3.6%
Renter share
14.2% +38%
Newington Forest: 10.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Spring Hill and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3.7–3.7

Why Spring Hill scores 3.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.4–7.4 across tracts
7.4
Rent control risk
32% of income on rent · Range 2.7–2.7 across tracts
2.7
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.9–2.9 across tracts
2.9
Tenant organizing strength
14% renter households · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.7–2.7 across tracts
2.7
Economic stress
6.9% below poverty line · Range 1.7–1.7 across tracts
1.7
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Risk score comparison

Spring Hill vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Spring Hill score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Spring Hill: 3.73.7Spring HillNeighborhoodParent city: 3.83.8Parent cityhost cityState: 4.34.3Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Spring Hill

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51059492400 3.7 4,663 32% $2,544
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 29

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 44%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 33%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 69%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 12%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Spring Hill

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 38Total filings (sum)
  • 3.11%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.5%Peak year (2011)
  • 4.05%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Spring Hill

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Spring Hill

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Spring Hill?

Spring Hill scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Spring Hill compare to Newington Forest overall?

Spring Hill scores 0.1 points lower than Newington Forest overall (3.8/10). Renters spend 32% of income on rent vs 26% citywide. Average rent: $2,544 vs $2,618.
Q3

What is the average rent in Spring Hill?

Average gross rent in Spring Hill is $2,544/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Spring Hill residents are renters?

14% of Spring Hill households are renter-occupied (vs 10% in Newington Forest). The neighborhood has 4,663 residents.
Q5

Is Spring Hill a high social-vulnerability area?

Spring Hill sits in the 29th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Spring Hill for landlords?

Spring Hill carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.7/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Newington Forest as a whole (3.8/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Spring Hill?

Spring Hill has 4,508 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (40.4%), Hispanic / Latino (24.3%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (14.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
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