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Neighborhood · Ashburn, VA

Ashburn Mews Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 5,162 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4/10 · range 4–4

Ashburn Mews is a one-tract neighborhood of Ashburn, VA, population 5,162. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 4/10, in the Moderate tier. Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1/10.

Against a Ashburn baseline of 30.2%, 20% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. Severe burden reaches 18%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

SNAP participation is 3.9% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Court records for this tract carry 3 eviction filings.

Food insecurity affects 6.4% of adults, 11.4 points below the national rate. Well under the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.9/10.

Average gross rent is $2,139, 13% below the Ashburn average of $2,455. Filing activity peaked in 2016 at 1.8% of renter households. That places it #4 of 7 neighborhoods in Ashburn.

Judgments average 0.6% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. Only 20% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. For a like-for-like read, Four Seasons at Ashburn Village and Potomac Green score within a fraction of it.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 4/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
4
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Ashburn Mews vs Ashburn How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
19.7% -35%
Ashburn: 30.2%
Average gross rent
$2,139 -13%
Ashburn: $2,455
Average HH income
$152,813 +0%
Ashburn: $152,094
Poverty rate
2.2% -39%
Ashburn: 3.6%
Renter share
19.6% -39%
Ashburn: 32.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Ashburn Mews and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4–4

Why Ashburn Mews scores 4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts
6.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.6–6.6 across tracts
6.6
Rent control risk
20% of income on rent · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts
6.3
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.9–2.9 across tracts
2.9
Tenant organizing strength
20% renter households · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Economic stress
2.2% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.2–4.2 across tracts
4.2
Risk score comparison

Ashburn Mews vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Ashburn Mews score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Ashburn Mews: 4.04.0Ashburn MewsNeighborhoodParent city: 4.34.3Parent cityhost cityState: 4.34.3Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Ashburn Mews

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51107611005 4 5,162 20% $2,139
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 5

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 3%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 17%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 56%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 9%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Ashburn Mews

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 3Total filings (sum)
  • 1.78%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.8%Peak year (2016)
  • 1.78%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Ashburn Mews

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Ashburn Mews

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Ashburn Mews?

Ashburn Mews scores 4/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Ashburn Mews compare to Ashburn overall?

Ashburn Mews scores 0.3 points lower than Ashburn overall (4.3/10). Renters spend 20% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $2,139 vs $2,455.
Q3

What is the average rent in Ashburn Mews?

Average gross rent in Ashburn eviction risk Mews is $2,139/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 20% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Ashburn Mews residents are renters?

20% of Ashburn Mews households are renter-occupied (vs 32% in Ashburn). The neighborhood has 5,162 residents.
Q5

Is Ashburn Mews a high social-vulnerability area?

Ashburn Mews sits in the 5th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Ashburn Mews for landlords?

Ashburn eviction risk Mews carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Ashburn as a whole (4.3/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Ashburn Mews?

Ashburn Mews has 5,369 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (61.8%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (14.5%), Black (non-Hispanic) (12.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Ashburn Mews

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Ashburn

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Ashburn Mews.

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