Neighborhood · Ashburn, VA

Ashbriar Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 5,968 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 1/10 · range 1–1

Ashbriar is a white-asian neighborhood in Ashburn with 1 census tract and a population of 5,968 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 1/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 55% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 37% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $2,875/month sits 17% higher than the Ashburn citywide average ($2,455).

Risk score

Lower

1 tracts · population-weighted

Ashbriar vs Ashburn How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

55.0% +82%

Ashburn: 30.2%

Average gross rent

$2,875 +17%

Ashburn: $2,455

Average HH income

$213,587 +40%

Ashburn: $152,094

Poverty rate

1.8% -50%

Ashburn: 3.6%

Renter share

10.2% -68%

Ashburn: 32.0%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Ashbriar and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 1–1

Why Ashbriar scores 1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts

3.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts

6.3

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 6.6–6.6 across tracts

6.6

Rent control risk

55% of income on rent · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts

6.3

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.9–2.9 across tracts

2.9

Tenant organizing strength

10% renter households · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts

6.8

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts

4.5

Economic stress

1.8% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts

1.0

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 7.4–7.4 across tracts

7.4

Risk score comparison

Ashbriar vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Ashbriar

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
51107611019	1	5,968	55%	$2,875

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 12

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 4%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 27%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 61%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 23%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Ashbriar

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

1Total filings (sum)
0.63%Avg annual filing rate
0.6%Peak year (2016)
0.63%Latest filed (2016)

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Ashbriar

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

6.1%Housing insecurity
3.8%Utility shutoff threat
6.8%Food insecurity
4.1%SNAP enrollment
5.1%No health insurance
20.5%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Ashbriar

What is the eviction-risk score for Ashbriar?

Ashbriar scores 1/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Ashbriar compare to Ashburn overall?

Ashbriar scores 2.4 points lower than Ashburn overall (3.4/10). Renters spend 55% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $2,875 vs $2,455.

What is the average rent in Ashbriar?

Average gross rent in Ashbriar is $2,875/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Ashbriar residents are renters?

10% of Ashbriar households are renter-occupied (vs 32% in Ashburn). The neighborhood has 5,968 residents.

Is Ashbriar a high social-vulnerability area?

Ashbriar sits in the 12th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Ashbriar for landlords?

Ashbriar carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (1/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Ashburn as a whole (3.4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Ashbriar?

Ashbriar has 5,876 residents (White-Asian Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (56.4%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (28.6%), Black (non-Hispanic) (7.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Ashbriar

1 Waxpool 2 tracts · pop 13,459 1.5 Loudoun Station 2 tracts · pop 5,281 1.7 Regency at Ashburn 2 tracts · pop 7,360 1 Potomac Green 2 tracts · pop 7,779 1 Summerfield 2 tracts · pop 20,062 1.6 Montebello 4 tracts · pop 24,904

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Ashburn

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Ashbriar.

1 The Regency 1 tracts · pop 7,144 1 Ashburn Mews 1 tracts · pop 5,162 1 Four Seasons at Ashburn Village 1 tracts · pop 5,577 1 Potomac Green 2 tracts · pop 7,779 1.2 Ridges At Ashburn 1 tracts · pop 4,572 1.7 Regency at Ashburn 2 tracts · pop 7,360

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