1 census tracts · pop 5,968 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4/10
· range 4–4
Ashbriar is a one-tract neighborhood of Ashburn, VA and houses 5,968 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 4/10, Moderate tier. Against a Ashburn baseline of 30.2%, 55% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.
Severe burden reaches 37%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The clearest offset is economic stress, at 1/10.
The voucher gap is 24.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. On the high side is supply constraint at 7.4/10.
Average gross rent is $2,875, 17% above the Ashburn average of $2,455. Court records for this tract carry 1 eviction filings.
Food insecurity affects 6.8% of adults, 11.0 points below the national rate. 3.8% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, below a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Well under the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.9/10.
The worst year on record was 2016, when filings touched 0.6% of renter households. That places it #4 of 7 neighborhoods in Ashburn.
Only 10% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
One tract means one number: 4/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
4
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Ashbriar vs AshburnHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority61%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport23%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Ashbriar
Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
1Total filings (sum)
0.63%Avg annual filing rate
0.6%Peak year (2016)
0.63%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Ashbriar
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
6.1%Housing insecurity
3.8%Utility shutoff threat
6.8%Food insecurity
4.1%SNAP enrollment
5.1%No health insurance
20.5%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Ashbriar
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Ashbriar?
Ashbriar scores 4/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Ashbriar compare to Ashburn overall?
Ashbriar scores 0.3 points lower than Ashburn overall (4.3/10). Renters spend 55% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $2,875 vs $2,455.
Q3
What is the average rent in Ashbriar?
Average gross rent in Ashbriar is $2,875/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Ashbriar residents are renters?
10% of Ashbriar households are renter-occupied (vs 32% in Ashburn). The neighborhood has 5,968 residents.
Q5
Is Ashbriar a high social-vulnerability area?
Ashbriar sits in the 12th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Ashbriar for landlords?
Ashbriar carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Ashburn as a whole (4.3/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Ashbriar?
Ashbriar has 5,876 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (56.4%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (28.6%), Black (non-Hispanic) (7.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
