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Neighborhood · Ashburn, VA

The Regency Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 7,144 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.1/10 · range 4.1–4.1

The Regency is a one-tract neighborhood of Ashburn, VA and houses 7,144 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 4.1/10, Moderate tier. The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1/10.

Severe burden reaches 12%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The filing record is not thin: 119 evictions logged in this tract.

On the softer side is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.9/10. SNAP participation is 5.1% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

Cost burden runs 34% against 30.2% citywide, putting The Regency 3.8% over its own city. Food insecurity affects 8.3% of adults, 9.5 points below the national rate. The worst year on record was 2016, when filings touched 8.2% of renter households.

At $2,263 a month, rents sit 8% under what the rest of Ashburn commands. That places it #3 of 7 neighborhoods in Ashburn. Judgments average 1.7% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.

The closest comparables inside the same city are Ashburn Mews and Four Seasons at Ashburn Village. Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 4.1/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
4.1
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
The Regency vs Ashburn How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
34.0% +13%
Ashburn: 30.2%
Average gross rent
$2,263 -8%
Ashburn: $2,455
Average HH income
$131,404 -14%
Ashburn: $152,094
Poverty rate
2.7% -25%
Ashburn: 3.6%
Renter share
54.6% +71%
Ashburn: 32.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across The Regency and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.1–4.1

Why The Regency scores 4.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts
6.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.6–6.6 across tracts
6.6
Rent control risk
34% of income on rent · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts
6.3
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.9–2.9 across tracts
2.9
Tenant organizing strength
55% renter households · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Economic stress
2.7% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.8–4.8 across tracts
4.8
Risk score comparison

The Regency vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

The Regency score vs. parent city, state, U.S.The Regency: 4.14.1The RegencyNeighborhoodParent city: 4.34.3Parent cityhost cityState: 4.34.3Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in The Regency

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51107611020 4.1 7,144 34% $2,263
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 22

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 12%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 11%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 74%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 48%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in The Regency

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 119Total filings (sum)
  • 8.19%Avg annual filing rate
  • 8.2%Peak year (2016)
  • 8.19%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in The Regency

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About The Regency

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for The Regency?

The Regency scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does The Regency compare to Ashburn overall?

The Regency scores 0.2 points lower than Ashburn overall (4.3/10). Renters spend 34% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $2,263 vs $2,455.
Q3

What is the average rent in The Regency?

Average gross rent in The Regency is $2,263/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of The Regency residents are renters?

55% of The Regency households are renter-occupied (vs 32% in Ashburn). The neighborhood has 7,144 residents.
Q5

Is The Regency a high social-vulnerability area?

The Regency sits in the 22nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is The Regency for landlords?

The Regency carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.1/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Ashburn as a whole (4.3/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of The Regency?

The Regency has 7,191 residents. Top groups: Asian (non-Hispanic) (39.1%), White (non-Hispanic) (36.5%), Hispanic / Latino (9.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near The Regency

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Ashburn

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to The Regency.

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