Potomac Green Eviction Risk: Moderate

CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 5.4% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. Court records for this tract carry 49 eviction filings. Food insecurity affects 6.2% of adults, 11.6 points below the national rate.

On the softer side is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.9/10. The voucher gap is 13.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. 10% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

The worst year on record was 2016, when filings touched 9.5% of renter households. Against a Ashburn baseline of 30.2%, 27% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. Average gross rent is $2,637, 7% above the Ashburn average of $2,455.

Among the 7 mapped neighborhoods of Ashburn, it ranks #4 by risk, the middle third. Judgments average 2.1% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. Only 23% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

With little internal variation, 4/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.