Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #83,884 of 84,120 nationally

Four Seasons at Ashburn Village Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 51107611006 · Loudoun County, VA · pop 5,577 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Census tract 51107611006 covers Four Seasons at Ashburn Village in Ashburn, home to 5,577 residents. For landlords it grades 5.4/10, a moderate reading. It lands near the 51st percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

37% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 19% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,573 a month while the average household earns $197,354 a year, roughly 16% of income at the averages. About 19% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 12% Owners 81%
Tract context
Occupied units1,767
Renter share18.6%
SVI overall0.09
Poverty rate1.7%
Median income$197,354

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Four Seasons at Ashburn Village
Moderate
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 9 tracts In Ashburn
Moderate
Within county
16 th percentile
Rank, 16th percentileLowHigh
#63 of 75 tracts In Loudoun County
Very Low
Within state
4 th percentile
Rank, 4th percentileLowHigh
#2,104 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Ashburn and the region

Centroid at 39.0182, -77.4599 · click any tract to drill in

Why Four Seasons at Ashburn Village scores 1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Ashburn
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
1.7% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,573 rent vs county FMR
6.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Ashburn
6.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Ashburn
6.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Ashburn
4.5

How Four Seasons at Ashburn Village compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Four Seasons at Ashburn Village risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.01.0This tracttract 611006Ashburn: 3.43.4Ashburnparent cityCounty: 1.31.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 9

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 10Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 3.29%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.3%Peak (2016)
  • 10Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Four Seasons at Ashburn Village

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 6.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Ashburn eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Loudoun County average of 5.2 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 8.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is White and Asian and ranks around the 9th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 51107611006

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51107611006?

Census tract 51107611006 in the Four Seasons at Ashburn Village neighborhood scores 1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51107611006?

Median gross rent is $2,573/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51107611006?

1.7% of residents in tract 51107611006 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,577.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51107611006?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 9th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 3th, household 21th, minority 63th, housing 17th.
Q5

Is tract 51107611006 considered part of Four Seasons at Ashburn Village?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51107611006 fall within Four Seasons at Ashburn Village (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51107611006?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 10 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51107611006 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.29% of renter households, peaking at 3.3% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51107611006 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51107611006 compare to Ashburn overall?

Tract 51107611006 scores 1/10, lower than the parent city of Ashburn at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Ashburn eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Ashburn

Top eight tracts in Ashburn ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related