Regency at Ashburn Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 51107611018 · Loudoun County, VA · pop 3,794 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Census tract 51107611018 covers part of the Regency at Ashburn area of Ashburn, VA, and scores 5.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,794. 41% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Ashburn and the region
Centroid at 39.0326, -77.4431 · click any tract to drill in
Why Regency at Ashburn scores 5.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Regency at Ashburn compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 55
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 21%Socioeconomic
- 80%Household composition
- 48%Racial/ethnic minority
- 79%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 30Total filings over 1 yrs
- 3.26%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.3%Peak (2016)
- 30Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Regency at Ashburn. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.1%Housing insecurity
- 3.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.7%Food insecurity
- 5.3%SNAP enrollment
- 4.7%Transit barriers
- 8.0%No health insurance
- 10.5%Frequent mental distress
- 36.7%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Regency at Ashburn
Against Loudoun County at 37.5%, 64% of renters here are cost-burdened. The voucher gap is 36.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. What pushes it up most is supply constraint at 8.7/10.
Set annual rent against average income of $98,646 and the ratio lands at 38%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. This is renter territory: 70% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. At $3,159 a month, rents run 29% over what the rest of Ashburn commands.
It sits 1.6 points above the Loudoun County average of 4.1. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 7.3/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 30 filings here across 1 tracked years.
Housing insecurity runs 6.1% against 14.2% nationally. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.9/10. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.9% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
About tract 51107611018
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51107611018?
What is the average rent in tract 51107611018?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51107611018?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51107611018?
Is tract 51107611018 considered part of Regency at Ashburn?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51107611018?
What share of households in tract 51107611018 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51107611018 compare to Ashburn overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Ashburn
Top eight tracts in Ashburn ranked by composite eviction-risk score.