Potomac Green Eviction Risk: Moderate , Ashburn
Tract 51107611016 · Loudoun County, VA · pop 4,624 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
With a score of 4/10, tract 51107611016 in the Potomac Green area of Ashburn, VA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,624. Cost burden runs 11% here against 37.5% across Loudoun County.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Ashburn and the region
Centroid at 39.0470, -77.4637 · click any tract to drill in
Why Potomac Green scores 4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Potomac Green compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 8
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 2%Socioeconomic
- 51%Household composition
- 52%Racial/ethnic minority
- 8%Housing & transportation
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Potomac Green. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 4.5%Housing insecurity
- 2.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 5.2%Food insecurity
- 3.3%SNAP enrollment
- 3.4%Transit barriers
- 5.0%No health insurance
- 10.4%Frequent mental distress
- 26.3%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Potomac Green
Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10. The voucher gap is 18.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 7.3/10.
Housing insecurity runs 4.5% against 14.2% nationally. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.9/10. At $2,750 a month, rents run 12% over what the rest of Ashburn commands.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 2.9% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Nationally it ranks #48,956 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
At 8% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 1.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 0%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
About tract 51107611016
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51107611016?
What is the average rent in tract 51107611016?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51107611016?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51107611016?
Is tract 51107611016 considered part of Potomac Green?
What share of households in tract 51107611016 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51107611016 compare to Ashburn overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Ashburn
Top eight tracts in Ashburn ranked by composite eviction-risk score.