Neighborhood · Ranked #44,188 of 84,120 nationally

The Regency Eviction Risk: Moderate , Ashburn

Tract 51107611020 · Loudoun County, VA · pop 7,144 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

Census tract 51107611020 sits in the The Regency neighborhood of Ashburn, Virginia. It has a population of 7,144 and an eviction-risk score of 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). 34% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 12% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $2,263/month against a median household income of $131,404 — roughly 21% rent-to-income at the medians.

Risk score

5.2

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 36% Owners 45%

Tract context

Occupied units2,814

Renter share54.6%

SVI overall0.22

Poverty rate2.7%

Median income$131,404

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Ashburn and the region

Centroid at 38.9989, -77.4598 · click any tract to drill in

Why The Regency scores 5.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Ashburn

6.6

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.3

State political climate

Virginia legislature & governorship

3.2

Economic stress

2.7% poverty · this tract

1.0

Supply constraint

$2,263 rent vs county FMR

4.8

Rent control risk

Inherited from Ashburn

6.3

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.9

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Ashburn

6.8

Housing court bias

Inherited from Ashburn

4.5

How The Regency compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 22

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

12%Socioeconomic
11%Household composition
74%Racial/ethnic minority
48%Housing & transportation

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

119Total filings over 1 yrs
8.19%Avg annual filing rate
8.2%Peak (2016)
119Filings in 2016 (latest validated)

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

8.0%Housing insecurity
4.8%Utility-shutoff threat
8.3%Food insecurity
5.1%SNAP enrollment
5.2%Transit barriers
6.4%No health insurance
14.0%Frequent mental distress
19.8%Any disability

Frequently asked

About tract 51107611020

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51107611020?

Census tract 51107611020 in the The Regency neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 51107611020?

Median gross rent is $2,263/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 51107611020?

2.7% of residents in tract 51107611020 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,144.

How socially vulnerable is tract 51107611020?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 22th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 12th, household 11th, minority 74th, housing 48th.

Is tract 51107611020 considered part of The Regency?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51107611020 fall within The Regency (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51107611020?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 119 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51107611020 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.19% of renter households, peaking at 8.2% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

What share of households in tract 51107611020 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.8% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 51107611020 compare to Ashburn overall?

Tract 51107611020 scores 5.2/10 — lower than the parent city of Ashburn at 5.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Ashburn eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Ashburn

Top eight tracts in Ashburn ranked by composite eviction-risk score.