Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #81,634 of 84,120 nationally
Ridges At Ashburn Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 51107611014 · Loudoun County, VA · pop 4,572 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Ridges At Ashburn in Ashburn is where census tract 51107611014 sits, home to 4,572 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 5.6/10. On the national scale it ranks #34,475 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
47% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 18% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,998 a month while the average household earns $181,921 a year, roughly 13% of income at the averages. About 23% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
1.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11%
Stable renters 12%
Owners 77%
Tract context
Occupied units1,657
Renter share23.1%
SVI overall0.11
Poverty rate5.2%
Median income$181,921
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
88
th percentile
High
Within county
62
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
12
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Ashburn and the region
Centroid at 39.0526, -77.4794 · click any tract to drill in
Why Ridges At Ashburn scores 1.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Ashburn
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
5.2% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$1,998 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Ashburn
6.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Ashburn
6.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Ashburn
4.5
How Ridges At Ashburn compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 11
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 10%Socioeconomic
- 19%Household composition
- 58%Racial/ethnic minority
- 16%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 10Total filings over 1 yrs
- 2.53%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.5%Peak (2016)
- 10Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.3%Housing insecurity
- 4.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.8%Food insecurity
- 5.1%SNAP enrollment
- 4.9%Transit barriers
- 6.3%No health insurance
- 13.9%Frequent mental distress
- 21.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Ridges At Ashburn
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 6.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Ashburn eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Loudoun County average of 5.2 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 7.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 10 eviction filings here over 1 tracked years, with about 2.5% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 2.5% of renter households in 2016.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 51107611014
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51107611014?
Census tract 51107611014 in the Ridges At Ashburn neighborhood scores 1.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51107611014?
Median gross rent is $1,998/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51107611014?
5.2% of residents in tract 51107611014 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,572.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51107611014?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 11th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 10th, household 19th, minority 58th, housing 16th.
Q5
Is tract 51107611014 considered part of Ridges At Ashburn?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51107611014 fall within Ridges At Ashburn (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51107611014?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 10 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51107611014 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.53% of renter households, peaking at 2.5% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51107611014 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51107611014 compare to Ashburn overall?
Tract 51107611014 scores 1.2/10, lower than the parent city of Ashburn at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Ashburn eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Ashburn
Top eight tracts in Ashburn ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Regency at Ashburn
2.3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · VA
Potomac Green
1
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · VA
Regency at Ashburn
1
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · VA
Ashbriar
1
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · VA
The Regency
1
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · VA
Ashburn Mews
1
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · VA
Four Seasons at Ashburn Village
1
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · VA
Potomac Green
1
/ 10 · Very Low
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