Ashbriar Eviction Risk: Moderate , Ashburn
Tract 51107611019 · Loudoun County, VA · pop 5,968 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Census tract 51107611019 covers part of the Ashbriar area of Ashburn, VA, and scores 4/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,968 residents. The severe-burden share is 37%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Ashburn and the region
Centroid at 39.0241, -77.4943 · click any tract to drill in
Why Ashbriar scores 4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Ashbriar compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 12
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 4%Socioeconomic
- 27%Household composition
- 61%Racial/ethnic minority
- 23%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1Total filings over 1 yrs
- 0.63%Avg annual filing rate
- 0.6%Peak (2016)
- 1Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.1%Housing insecurity
- 3.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.8%Food insecurity
- 4.1%SNAP enrollment
- 4.3%Transit barriers
- 5.1%No health insurance
- 12.9%Frequent mental distress
- 20.5%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Ashbriar
Against Loudoun County at 37.5%, 55% of renters here are cost-burdened. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10. The voucher gap is 24.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
On the high side, supply constraint reads 7.4/10. Food insecurity runs 6.8% against 17.8% nationally.
Average gross rent is $2,875, 17% above the Ashburn average. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 7.3/10. Court records carry 1 eviction filings across 1 observed years.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.8% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Filings peaked in 2016 at 0.6% of renter households.
In a typical year about 0.6% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #48,956 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 10% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
Social vulnerability reads 2.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
About tract 51107611019
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51107611019?
What is the average rent in tract 51107611019?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51107611019?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51107611019?
Is tract 51107611019 considered part of Ashbriar?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51107611019?
What share of households in tract 51107611019 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51107611019 compare to Ashburn overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Ashburn
Top eight tracts in Ashburn ranked by composite eviction-risk score.