The Regency Eviction Risk: Moderate , Ashburn
Tract 51107611020 · Loudoun County, VA · pop 7,144 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
Census tract 51107611020 covers part of the The Regency area of Ashburn, VA, and scores 4.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 7,144 residents. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Ashburn and the region
Centroid at 38.9989, -77.4598 · click any tract to drill in
Why The Regency scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow The Regency compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 22
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 12%Socioeconomic
- 11%Household composition
- 74%Racial/ethnic minority
- 48%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 119Total filings over 1 yrs
- 8.19%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.2%Peak (2016)
- 119Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.0%Housing insecurity
- 4.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.3%Food insecurity
- 5.1%SNAP enrollment
- 5.2%Transit barriers
- 6.4%No health insurance
- 14.0%Frequent mental distress
- 19.8%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in The Regency
Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 7.3/10. 12% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. SNAP participation runs 5.1% against 15.2% nationally.
Food insecurity runs 8.3% against 17.8% nationally. Court records carry 119 eviction filings across 1 observed years. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.9/10.
Filings peaked in 2016 at 8.2% of renter households. In a typical year about 8.2% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 44th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3/10. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 34% of renters.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
About tract 51107611020
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51107611020?
What is the average rent in tract 51107611020?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51107611020?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51107611020?
Is tract 51107611020 considered part of The Regency?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51107611020?
What share of households in tract 51107611020 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51107611020 compare to Ashburn overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Ashburn
Top eight tracts in Ashburn ranked by composite eviction-risk score.