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Neighborhood · Ranked #83,884 of 84,120 nationally

The Regency Eviction Risk: Lower , Ashburn

Tract 51107611020 · Loudoun County, VA · pop 7,144 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

The Moderate-tier score of 5.2/10 for census tract 51107611020 reflects conditions in the The Regency area of Ashburn, Virginia. On the national scale it ranks #47,038 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 34% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 12% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,263 a month against an average household income of $131,404 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. About 55% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 36% Owners 45%
Tract context
Occupied units2,814
Renter share54.6%
SVI overall0.22
Poverty rate2.7%
Median income$131,404

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In The Regency
Moderate
Within parent city
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 9 tracts In Ashburn
Low
Within county
1 th percentile
Rank, 1st percentileLowHigh
#74 of 75 tracts In Loudoun County
Very Low
Within state
4 th percentile
Rank, 4th percentileLowHigh
#2,104 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Ashburn and the region

Centroid at 38.9989, -77.4598 · click any tract to drill in

Why The Regency scores 1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Ashburn
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
2.7% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,263 rent vs county FMR
4.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Ashburn
6.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Ashburn
6.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Ashburn
4.5

How The Regency compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
The Regency risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.01.0This tracttract 611020Ashburn: 3.43.4Ashburnparent cityCounty: 1.31.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 22

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 119Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 8.19%Avg annual filing rate
  • 8.2%Peak (2016)
  • 119Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in The Regency

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 6.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Ashburn eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Loudoun County average of 5.2 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is Asian and White and ranks around the 22nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 119 eviction filings here over 1 tracked years, with about 8.2% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 8.2% of renter households in 2016.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 51107611020

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51107611020?

Census tract 51107611020 in the The Regency neighborhood scores 1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51107611020?

Median gross rent is $2,263/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51107611020?

2.7% of residents in tract 51107611020 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,144.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51107611020?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 22th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 12th, household 11th, minority 74th, housing 48th.
Q5

Is tract 51107611020 considered part of The Regency?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51107611020 fall within The Regency (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51107611020?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 119 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51107611020 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.19% of renter households, peaking at 8.2% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51107611020 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51107611020 compare to Ashburn overall?

Tract 51107611020 scores 1/10, lower than the parent city of Ashburn at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Ashburn eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Ashburn

Top eight tracts in Ashburn ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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