Neighborhood · Goose Creek Village, VA

Goose Creek Bend Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 6,078 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 2.2/10 · range 2.2–2.2

Goose Creek Bend is a white-asian neighborhood in Goose Creek Village with 1 census tract and a population of 6,078 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 2.2/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 0% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 0% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $2,873/month sits 2% lower than the Goose Creek Village citywide average ($2,921).

Risk score

2.2

Lower

1 tracts · population-weighted

Goose Creek Bend vs Goose Creek Village How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

0.0% -100%

Goose Creek Village: 21.7%

Average gross rent

$2,873 -2%

Goose Creek Village: $2,921

Average HH income

$250,001 +0%

Goose Creek Village: $250,001

Poverty rate

1.7% +1%

Goose Creek Village: 1.7%

Renter share

7.5% -84%

Goose Creek Village: 47.7%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Goose Creek Bend and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 2.2–2.2

Why Goose Creek Bend scores 2.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts

3.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts

6.3

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 6.6–6.6 across tracts

6.6

Rent control risk

0% of income on rent · Range 2.6–2.6 across tracts

2.6

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts

3.2

Tenant organizing strength

8% renter households · Range 1.8–1.8 across tracts

1.8

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts

2.3

Economic stress

1.7% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts

1.0

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 7.4–7.4 across tracts

7.4

Risk score comparison

Goose Creek Bend vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Goose Creek Bend

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
51107611028	2.2	6,078	0%	$2,873

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 4

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 0%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 21%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 70%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 7%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Goose Creek Bend

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

5.6%Housing insecurity
3.5%Utility shutoff threat
6.0%Food insecurity
3.3%SNAP enrollment
4.3%No health insurance
16.6%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Goose Creek Bend

What is the eviction-risk score for Goose Creek Bend?

Goose Creek Bend scores 2.2/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Goose Creek Bend compare to Goose Creek Village overall?

Goose Creek Bend scores 1.3 points lower than Goose Creek Village overall (3.5/10). Renters spend 0% of income on rent vs 22% citywide. Average rent: $2,873 vs $2,921.

What is the average rent in Goose Creek Bend?

Average gross rent in Goose Creek Bend is $2,873/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 0% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Goose Creek Bend residents are renters?

8% of Goose Creek Bend households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in Goose Creek Village). The neighborhood has 6,078 residents.

Is Goose Creek Bend a high social-vulnerability area?

Goose Creek Bend sits in the 4th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Goose Creek Bend for landlords?

Goose Creek Bend carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (2.2/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Goose Creek Village as a whole (3.5/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Goose Creek Bend?

Goose Creek Bend has 6,029 residents (White-Asian Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (42.3%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (40.3%), Black (non-Hispanic) (9.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Goose Creek Bend

1 Waxpool 2 tracts · pop 13,459 1 Summerfield 2 tracts · pop 20,062 1.5 Loudoun Station 2 tracts · pop 5,281 1.7 Regency at Ashburn 2 tracts · pop 7,360 1 Potomac Green 2 tracts · pop 7,779 1 Avonlea 4 tracts · pop 24,744

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