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Neighborhood · Leesburg, VA

Stratford Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 10,234 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.2/10 · range 2.2–3.7

Stratford is a white-hispanic neighborhood in Leesburg with 2 census tracts and a population of 10,234 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 3.2/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 52% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 23% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,809/month sits 14% lower than the Leesburg citywide average ($2,105).

Risk score
3.2
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Stratford vs Leesburg How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
52.0% +76%
Leesburg: 29.5%
Average gross rent
$1,809 -14%
Leesburg: $2,105
Average HH income
$87,440 -38%
Leesburg: $140,668
Poverty rate
18.4% +141%
Leesburg: 7.6%
Renter share
50.1% +61%
Leesburg: 31.1%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Stratford and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 2.2–3.7

Why Stratford scores 3.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts
6.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.6–6.6 across tracts
6.6
Rent control risk
52% of income on rent · Range 6.6–6.6 across tracts
6.6
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.3–3.3 across tracts
3.3
Tenant organizing strength
50% renter households · Range 6.7–6.7 across tracts
6.7
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.4–5.4 across tracts
5.4
Economic stress
18.4% below poverty line · Range 1.7–6.3 across tracts
4.6
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.7–3.1 across tracts
2.8
Risk score comparison

Stratford vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Stratford score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Stratford: 3.23.2StratfordNeighborhoodParent city: 3.53.5Parent cityhost cityState: 3.83.8Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Stratford

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51107610505 3.7 6,496 48% $1,771
51107610603 2.2 3,738 59% $1,876
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 86

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 84%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 52%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 74%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 87%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Stratford

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 135Total filings (sum)
  • 5.90%Avg annual filing rate
  • 8.4%Peak year (2016)
  • 5.90%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Stratford

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Stratford

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Stratford?

Stratford scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Stratford compare to Leesburg overall?

Stratford scores 0.3 points lower than Leesburg overall (3.5/10). Renters spend 52% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $1,809 vs $2,105.
Q3

What is the average rent in Stratford?

Average gross rent in Stratford is $1,809/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Stratford residents are renters?

50% of Stratford households are renter-occupied (vs 31% in Leesburg). The neighborhood has 10,234 residents.
Q5

Is Stratford a high social-vulnerability area?

Stratford sits in the 86th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Stratford have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Stratford is census tract 51107610505 (score 3.7/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 2.2 to 3.7, a spread of 1.5 points.
Q7

How safe is Stratford for landlords?

Stratford carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.2/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Leesburg as a whole (3.5/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Stratford?

Stratford has 10,138 residents (White-Hispanic Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (43.9%), Hispanic / Latino (32.4%), Black (non-Hispanic) (11.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Stratford

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Leesburg

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Stratford.

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