Stratford Eviction Risk: Moderate , Leesburg
Tract 51107610505 · Loudoun County, VA · pop 6,496 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
Census tract 51107610505 covers part of the Stratford area of Leesburg, VA, and scores 5.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 6,496. The severe-burden share is 23%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Leesburg and the region
Centroid at 39.1112, -77.5509 · click any tract to drill in
Why Stratford scores 5.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Stratford compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 89
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 92%Socioeconomic
- 39%Household composition
- 76%Racial/ethnic minority
- 94%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 123Total filings over 1 yrs
- 8.41%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.4%Peak (2016)
- 123Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Stratford. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 19.0%Housing insecurity
- 11.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 23.2%Food insecurity
- 17.4%SNAP enrollment
- 11.7%Transit barriers
- 19.7%No health insurance
- 17.4%Frequent mental distress
- 31.6%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Stratford
Cost burden runs 48% here against 37.5% across Loudoun County. Against the Loudoun County average of 4.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.6 points. The poverty rate is 25%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 7.3/10. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2.7/10.
Average gross rent is $1,771, 16% below the Leesburg average. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 123 filings here across 1 tracked years. Adults with no health insurance runs 19.7% against 11.3% nationally.
Filings peaked in 2016 at 8.4% of renter households. In a typical year about 8.4% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #21,564 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
About tract 51107610505
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51107610505?
What is the average rent in tract 51107610505?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51107610505?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51107610505?
Is tract 51107610505 considered part of Stratford?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51107610505?
What share of households in tract 51107610505 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51107610505 compare to Leesburg overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Leesburg
Top eight tracts in Leesburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.