Stratford Eviction Risk: Lower , Leesburg
Tract 51107610505 · Loudoun County, VA · pop 6,496 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
For landlords sizing up the Stratford area of Leesburg, census tract 51107610505 carries an elevated eviction-risk score of 6.3/10. On the national scale it ranks #15,357 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
About 48% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 23% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,771 a month against an average household income of $86,398 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. Renters make up 52% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Leesburg and the region
Centroid at 39.1112, -77.5509 · click any tract to drill in
Why Stratford scores 3.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Stratford compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 89
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 92%Socioeconomic
- 39%Household composition
- 76%Racial/ethnic minority
- 94%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 123Total filings over 1 yrs
- 8.41%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.4%Peak (2016)
- 123Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Stratford. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 19.0%Housing insecurity
- 11.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 23.2%Food insecurity
- 17.4%SNAP enrollment
- 11.7%Transit barriers
- 19.7%No health insurance
- 17.4%Frequent mental distress
- 31.6%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Stratford
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 6.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Leesburg eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Loudoun County average of 5.2 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 19.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 11.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 89th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
About tract 51107610505
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51107610505?
What is the average rent in tract 51107610505?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51107610505?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51107610505?
Is tract 51107610505 considered part of Stratford?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51107610505?
What share of households in tract 51107610505 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51107610505 compare to Leesburg overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Leesburg
Top eight tracts in Leesburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.