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Neighborhood · Ranked #46,312 of 84,120 nationally

Stratford Eviction Risk: Lower , Leesburg

Tract 51107610505 · Loudoun County, VA · pop 6,496 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

For landlords sizing up the Stratford area of Leesburg, census tract 51107610505 carries an elevated eviction-risk score of 6.3/10. On the national scale it ranks #15,357 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 48% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 23% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,771 a month against an average household income of $86,398 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. Renters make up 52% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25% Stable renters 27% Owners 48%
Tract context
Occupied units2,083
Renter share51.5%
SVI overall0.89
Poverty rate25.1%
Median income$86,398

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Stratford
Very High
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 9 tracts In Leesburg
Very High
Within county
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 75 tracts In Loudoun County
Very High
Within state
68 th percentile
Rank, 68th percentileLowHigh
#705 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Leesburg and the region

Centroid at 39.1112, -77.5509 · click any tract to drill in

Why Stratford scores 3.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Leesburg
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
25.1% poverty · this tract
6.3
Supply constraint
$1,771 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Leesburg
6.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Leesburg
6.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Leesburg
5.4

How Stratford compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Stratford risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.73.7This tracttract 610505Leesburg: 3.53.5Leesburgparent cityCounty: 1.31.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 89

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 123Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 8.41%Avg annual filing rate
  • 8.4%Peak (2016)
  • 123Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Stratford. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Stratford

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 6.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Leesburg eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Loudoun County average of 5.2 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 19.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 11.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 89th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 51107610505

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51107610505?

Census tract 51107610505 in the Stratford neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51107610505?

Median gross rent is $1,771/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51107610505?

25.1% of residents in tract 51107610505 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,496.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51107610505?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 92th, household 39th, minority 76th, housing 94th.
Q5

Is tract 51107610505 considered part of Stratford?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51107610505 fall within Stratford (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51107610505?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 123 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51107610505 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.41% of renter households, peaking at 8.4% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51107610505 struggle to pay rent?

About 19.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51107610505 compare to Leesburg overall?

Tract 51107610505 scores 3.7/10, right in line with the parent city of Leesburg at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Leesburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Leesburg

Top eight tracts in Leesburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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