Neighborhood · Independent Hill, VA

Winding Creek Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 6,623 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 1/10 · range 1–1

Winding Creek is a diverse neighborhood in Independent Hill with 1 census tract and a population of 6,623 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 1/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 15% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 0% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $3,501/month sits 53% higher than the Independent Hill citywide average ($2,295).

Risk score

Lower

1 tracts · population-weighted

Winding Creek vs Independent Hill How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

14.6% -43%

Independent Hill: 25.6%

Average gross rent

$3,501 +53%

Independent Hill: $2,295

Average HH income

$211,089 +3%

Independent Hill: $204,500

Poverty rate

0.3% -71%

Independent Hill: 1.0%

Renter share

2.9% -25%

Independent Hill: 3.9%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Winding Creek and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 1–1

Why Winding Creek scores 1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts

3.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.4–6.4 across tracts

6.4

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 6.7–6.7 across tracts

6.7

Rent control risk

15% of income on rent · Range 4.3–4.3 across tracts

4.3

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts

3.4

Tenant organizing strength

3% renter households · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts

2.0

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 3.1–3.1 across tracts

3.1

Economic stress

0.3% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts

1.0

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 10.0–10.0 across tracts

10.0

Risk score comparison

Winding Creek vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Winding Creek

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
51153901005	1	6,623	15%	$3,501

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 3

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 5%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 13%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 61%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 3%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Winding Creek

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

2Total filings (sum)
1.85%Avg annual filing rate
1.9%Peak year (2016)
1.85%Latest filed (2016)

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Winding Creek

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

8.9%Housing insecurity
5.6%Utility shutoff threat
8.7%Food insecurity
5.9%SNAP enrollment
6.0%No health insurance
22.5%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Winding Creek

What is the eviction-risk score for Winding Creek?

Winding Creek scores 1/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Winding Creek compare to Independent Hill overall?

Winding Creek scores 2.3 points lower than Independent Hill overall (3.3/10). Renters spend 15% of income on rent vs 26% citywide. Average rent: $3,501 vs $2,295.

What is the average rent in Winding Creek?

Average gross rent in Winding Creek is $3,501/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 15% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Winding Creek residents are renters?

3% of Winding Creek households are renter-occupied (vs 4% in Independent Hill). The neighborhood has 6,623 residents.

Is Winding Creek a high social-vulnerability area?

Winding Creek sits in the 3rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Winding Creek for landlords?

Winding Creek carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (1/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Independent Hill as a whole (3.3/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Winding Creek?

Winding Creek has 6,849 residents (Diverse Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (53.4%), Hispanic / Latino (19.6%), Black (non-Hispanic) (14.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Winding Creek

1.1 Southlake 2 tracts · pop 12,342 1.7 Kerrydale 2 tracts · pop 12,361 2.1 Spyglass Hill 2 tracts · pop 8,989 1.9 Potomac Town Center 2 tracts · pop 12,160 2 The Heights 5 tracts · pop 26,016 2.7 Marumsco Hills 2 tracts · pop 8,902

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Independent Hill

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Winding Creek.

1.1 Woodhaven 1 tracts · pop 2,986 1.4 Shenandoah 1 tracts · pop 5,259

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