2 census tracts · pop 12,361 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10
· range 3–3
Kerrydale takes in 2 census tracts of Dale City, VA, population 12,361. The Eviction Risk Score is 3/10, in the Lower tier. The severe-burden share is 28%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.
The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1.3/10. 42% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, above the Dale City rate of 32.6%. On the softer side is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.7/10.
Running cool is tenant-organizing strength, at 2/10. Court records carry 171 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts. Filing activity peaked in 2016 at 27.2% of renter households.
Among the 12 mapped neighborhoods of Dale City, it ranks #9 by risk, the lower third. Judgments average 5.1% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.
At 16% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. The closest comparables inside the same city are Mapledale and Ridgedale. Against average income of $136,107, annual rent is only 17%, a wide affordability cushion.
Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
3
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Kerrydale vs Dale CityHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority84%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport35%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Kerrydale
Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
171Total filings (sum)
18.59%Avg annual filing rate
27.2%Peak year (2016)
18.59%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Kerrydale
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
15.8%Housing insecurity
9.1%Utility shutoff threat
18.7%Food insecurity
13.3%SNAP enrollment
15.0%No health insurance
31.6%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Kerrydale
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Kerrydale?
Kerrydale scores 3/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Kerrydale compare to Dale City overall?
Kerrydale scores 0.4 points lower than Dale City overall (3.4/10). Renters spend 42% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $1,946 vs $1,876.
Q3
What is the average rent in Kerrydale?
Average gross rent in Kerrydale is $1,946/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Kerrydale residents are renters?
16% of Kerrydale households are renter-occupied (vs 21% in Dale City). The neighborhood has 12,361 residents.
Q5
Is Kerrydale a high social-vulnerability area?
Kerrydale sits in the 65th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Kerrydale have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Kerrydale is census tract 51153901212 (score 3/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 3, a spread of 0 points.
Q7
How safe is Kerrydale for landlords?
Kerrydale carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Dale City as a whole (3.4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Kerrydale?
Kerrydale has 12,056 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (44.7%), White (non-Hispanic) (19.9%), Black (non-Hispanic) (18.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
