Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally
Featherstone Shores Eviction Risk: Moderate , Woodbridge
Tract 51153900100 · Prince William County, VA · pop 3,234 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Census tract 51153900100 covers part of the Featherstone Shores area of Woodbridge, VA, and scores 5.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,234 residents. Cost burden runs 20% here against 43.3% across Prince William County.
Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3%
Stable renters 11%
Owners 86%
Tract context
Occupied units1,536
Renter share13.5%
SVI overall0.11
Poverty rate1.6%
Median income$146,700
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
82
th percentile
High
Within state
78
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Woodbridge and the region
Centroid at 38.6261, -77.2499 · click any tract to drill in
Why Featherstone Shores scores 5.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Woodbridge
7.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.4
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
1.6% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,592 rent vs county FMR
6.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Woodbridge
6.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Woodbridge
8.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Woodbridge
5.5
How Featherstone Shores compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 11
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 7%Socioeconomic
- 27%Household composition
- 66%Racial/ethnic minority
- 12%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 6Total filings over 1 yrs
- 2.04%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.0%Peak (2016)
- 6Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Featherstone Shores. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.3%Housing insecurity
- 4.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.6%Food insecurity
- 5.0%SNAP enrollment
- 4.6%Transit barriers
- 6.1%No health insurance
- 12.3%Frequent mental distress
- 25.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Featherstone Shores
The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.1/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10.
On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.4/10. At $2,592 a month, rents run 23% over what the rest of Woodbridge commands.
Food insecurity runs 7.6% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 5.0% against 15.2% nationally. It sits 1.0 points above the Prince William County average of 4.1.
The filing record is not thin: 6 evictions over 1 years of observation. The voucher gap is 12.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Filings peaked in 2016 at 2.0% of renter households.
In a typical year about 2.0% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #31,049 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 14% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51153900100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51153900100?
Census tract 51153900100 in the Featherstone Shores neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51153900100?
Median gross rent is $2,592/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 20% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51153900100?
1.6% of residents in tract 51153900100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,234.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51153900100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 11th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 7th, household 27th, minority 66th, housing 12th.
Q5
Is tract 51153900100 considered part of Featherstone Shores?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51153900100 fall within Featherstone Shores (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51153900100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 6 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51153900100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.04% of renter households, peaking at 2.0% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51153900100 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51153900100 compare to Woodbridge overall?
Tract 51153900100 scores 5.1/10, lower than the parent city of Woodbridge at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Woodbridge eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Woodbridge
Top eight tracts in Woodbridge ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Marumsco Hills
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Featherstone Shores
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Jefferson Plaza
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Marumsco Village
7.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Jefferson Plaza
7.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Potomac Town Center
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Featherstone Shores
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Marumsco Village
6
/ 10 · Elevated
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