Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Coldwater Springs Eviction Risk: Lower , Avondale
Tract 04013082211 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 7,878 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
With a score of 3/10, tract 04013082211 in the Coldwater Springs area of Avondale, AZ reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 7,878 residents. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 8.9/10.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 9%
Owners 84%
Tract context
Occupied units2,305
Renter share16.1%
SVI overall0.38
Poverty rate5.4%
Median income$107,083
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
37
th percentile
Low
Within state
40
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Avondale and the region
Centroid at 33.4282, -112.3204 · click any tract to drill in
Why Coldwater Springs scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Avondale
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
5.4% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$2,081 rent vs county FMR
5.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Avondale
7.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Avondale
7.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Avondale
6.4
How Coldwater Springs compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 38
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 64%Socioeconomic
- 28%Household composition
- 87%Racial/ethnic minority
- 8%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 90Total filings over 3 yrs
- 92.06%Avg annual filing rate
- 58.2%Peak (2005)
- 62Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Coldwater Springs. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 18.0%Housing insecurity
- 9.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 22.5%Food insecurity
- 14.5%SNAP enrollment
- 11.2%Transit barriers
- 19.7%No health insurance
- 16.5%Frequent mental distress
- 28.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Coldwater Springs
Running cool, economic stress reads 1.4/10. The severe-burden share is 20%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 2/10. The filing record is not thin: 90 evictions over 3 years of observation. Adults with no health insurance runs 19.7% against 11.3% nationally.
Average gross rent is $2,081, 14% above the Avondale average. Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points.
Filings peaked in 2005 at 58.2% of renter households. In a typical year about 92.1% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
At 16% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.4/10.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013082211
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013082211?
Census tract 04013082211 in the Coldwater Springs neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013082211?
Median gross rent is $2,081/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013082211?
5.4% of residents in tract 04013082211 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,878.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013082211?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 38th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 64th, household 28th, minority 87th, housing 8th.
Q5
Is tract 04013082211 considered part of Coldwater Springs?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013082211 fall within Coldwater Springs (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013082211?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 90 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 04013082211 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 92.06% of renter households, peaking at 58.2% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013082211 struggle to pay rent?
About 18.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013082211 compare to Avondale overall?
Tract 04013082211 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Avondale at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Avondale eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Avondale
Top eight tracts in Avondale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
Coldwater Springs
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Litchfield Junction
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
04013082209
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Tierra at Rancho Santa Fe
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Litchfield Junction
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013082024
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Alamar
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013082210
4
/ 10 · Moderate
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