Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
New Horizons Eviction Risk: Lower , Chandler
Tract 04013422304 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 2,914 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
With a score of 3/10, tract 04013422304 in the New Horizons area of Chandler, AZ reads lower for landlord eviction risk. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 34%
Stable renters 41%
Owners 25%
Tract context
Occupied units1,173
Renter share75.0%
SVI overall0.20
Poverty rate7.1%
Median income$79,809
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
20
th percentile
Low
Within county
20
th percentile
Low
Within state
40
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chandler and the region
Centroid at 33.3469, -111.8363 · click any tract to drill in
Why New Horizons scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chandler
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
7.1% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$1,752 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chandler
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chandler
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chandler
2.0
How New Horizons compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 20
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 21%Socioeconomic
- 3%Household composition
- 65%Racial/ethnic minority
- 54%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 906Total filings over 5 yrs
- 47.52%Avg annual filing rate
- 60.2%Peak (2002)
- 168Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within New Horizons. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.8%Housing insecurity
- 6.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.3%Food insecurity
- 7.8%SNAP enrollment
- 7.6%Transit barriers
- 9.6%No health insurance
- 16.4%Frequent mental distress
- 22.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in New Horizons
On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. This is renter territory: 75% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.8/10.
Severe burden reaches 16%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The filing record is not thin: 906 evictions over 5 years of observation. SNAP participation runs 7.8% against 15.2% nationally.
It sits 0.7 points below the Maricopa County average of 3.7. Filings peaked in 2002 at 60.2% of renter households. In a typical year about 47.5% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.8/10.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013422304
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013422304?
Census tract 04013422304 in the New Horizons neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013422304?
Median gross rent is $1,752/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013422304?
7.1% of residents in tract 04013422304 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,914.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013422304?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 20th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 21th, household 3th, minority 65th, housing 54th.
Q5
Is tract 04013422304 considered part of New Horizons?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013422304 fall within New Horizons (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013422304?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 906 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013422304 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 47.52% of renter households, peaking at 60.2% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013422304 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013422304 compare to Chandler overall?
Tract 04013422304 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Chandler at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chandler eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chandler
Top eight tracts in Chandler ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
04013522903
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013523002
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013523102
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013522904
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Carrizal
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Hightown
3.9
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
New Horizons
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
04013523008
3.6
/ 10 · Low
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