Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally
Arizona Cowboy Eviction Risk: Moderate , Mesa
Tract 04013422630 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 5,030 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
With a score of 4.6/10, tract 04013422630 in the Arizona Cowboy area of Mesa, AZ reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,030 residents. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 6%
Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units2,013
Renter share13.7%
SVI overall0.76
Poverty rate21.1%
Median income$48,513
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
88
th percentile
High
Within county
75
th percentile
High
Within state
78
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Mesa and the region
Centroid at 33.4010, -111.6257 · click any tract to drill in
Why Arizona Cowboy scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Mesa
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
21.1% poverty · this tract
5.3
Supply constraint
$1,380 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mesa
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mesa
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mesa
2.5
How Arizona Cowboy compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 76
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 90%Socioeconomic
- 86%Household composition
- 64%Racial/ethnic minority
- 26%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 215Total filings over 5 yrs
- 29.97%Avg annual filing rate
- 50.2%Peak (2004)
- 43Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 39% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Arizona Cowboy. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 14.7%Housing insecurity
- 8.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 22.7%Food insecurity
- 18.8%SNAP enrollment
- 11.4%Transit barriers
- 17.8%No health insurance
- 16.9%Frequent mental distress
- 40.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Arizona Cowboy
On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. Annualized rent equals 34% of average household income of $48,513, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Cost burden runs 53% here against 46.0% across Maricopa County.
Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.1/10. The poverty rate is 21%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Severe burden reaches 12%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 215 filings here across 5 tracked years. It sits 0.9 points above the Maricopa County average of 3.7. Average gross rent is $1,380, 15% below the Mesa average.
The worst year on record was 2004, when 50.2% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 30.0% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 53rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013422630
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013422630?
Census tract 04013422630 in the Arizona Cowboy neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013422630?
Median gross rent is $1,380/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013422630?
21.1% of residents in tract 04013422630 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,030.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013422630?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 76th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 90th, household 86th, minority 64th, housing 26th.
Q5
Is tract 04013422630 considered part of Arizona Cowboy?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013422630 fall within Arizona Cowboy (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013422630?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 215 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013422630 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 29.97% of renter households, peaking at 50.2% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013422630 struggle to pay rent?
About 14.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013422630 compare to Mesa overall?
Tract 04013422630 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Mesa at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mesa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Mesa
Top eight tracts in Mesa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
Fuller Ranch
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Mesa Patios
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Mesa Patios
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013421901
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Hohokam Village
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013421902
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013522802
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013422001
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
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