Continental at Superstition Springs Eviction Risk: Lower , Mesa

The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.

Set annual rent against average income of $57,098 and the ratio lands at 35%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Severe burden reaches 20%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.4/10.

Housing insecurity runs 3.0% against 14.2% nationally. SNAP participation runs 4.4% against 15.2% nationally.

That is riskier than roughly 31% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 7% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 1.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. It tracks the Maricopa County average of 3.7 closely.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.