Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Las Sendas Eviction Risk: Lower , Mesa
Tract 04013420107 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 7,143 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Census tract 04013420107 covers part of the Las Sendas area of Mesa, AZ, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 7,143. Average gross rent is $2,798, 73% above the Mesa average.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%
Stable renters 7%
Owners 84%
Tract context
Occupied units2,720
Renter share16.0%
SVI overall0.08
Poverty rate5.9%
Median income$139,923
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
17
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
24
th percentile
Low
Within state
40
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Mesa and the region
Centroid at 33.4793, -111.6740 · click any tract to drill in
Why Las Sendas scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Mesa
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
5.9% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$2,798 rent vs county FMR
9.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mesa
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mesa
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mesa
2.5
How Las Sendas compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 8
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 2%Socioeconomic
- 53%Household composition
- 29%Racial/ethnic minority
- 11%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 16Total filings over 4 yrs
- 31.51%Avg annual filing rate
- 59.7%Peak (2001)
- 2Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 71% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Las Sendas. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.8%Housing insecurity
- 3.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.2%Food insecurity
- 4.7%SNAP enrollment
- 4.6%Transit barriers
- 5.7%No health insurance
- 12.2%Frequent mental distress
- 25.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Las Sendas
The voucher gap is 43.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. The severe-burden share is 32%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The dominant input is supply constraint at 9.3/10.
Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. Cost burden runs 58% here against 46.0% across Maricopa County. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.
The filing record is not thin: 16 evictions over 4 years of observation. Housing insecurity runs 5.8% against 14.2% nationally.
It sits 0.7 points below the Maricopa County average of 3.7. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.5% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Filings peaked in 2001 at 59.7% of renter households.
In a typical year about 31.5% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013420107
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013420107?
Census tract 04013420107 in the Las Sendas neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013420107?
Median gross rent is $2,798/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013420107?
5.9% of residents in tract 04013420107 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,143.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013420107?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 8th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 2th, household 53th, minority 29th, housing 11th.
Q5
Is tract 04013420107 considered part of Las Sendas?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013420107 fall within Las Sendas (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013420107?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 16 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 04013420107 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 31.51% of renter households, peaking at 59.7% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013420107 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013420107 compare to Mesa overall?
Tract 04013420107 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Mesa at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mesa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Mesa
Top eight tracts in Mesa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
04013421902
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013422001
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013522802
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
McQueen
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013421302
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013422102
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013941300
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Dobson Shores
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
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