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Neighborhood · Ranked #56,048 of 84,120 nationally

Royal Palm Village Eviction Risk: Lower , Mesa

Tract 04013420707 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 2,211 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Census tract 04013420707 covers part of the Royal Palm Village area of Mesa, AZ, and scores 3.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,211. Severe burden reaches 35%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
3.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22% Stable renters 15% Owners 63%
Tract context
Occupied units1,193
Renter share36.8%
SVI overall0.82
Poverty rate7.2%
Median income$57,639

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 6 tracts In Royal Palm Village
Moderate
Within parent city
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#55 of 133 tracts In Mesa
Elevated
Within county
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#448 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Elevated
Within state
54 th percentile
Rank, 54th percentileLowHigh
#811 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Mesa and the region

Centroid at 33.4191, -111.7624 · click any tract to drill in

Why Royal Palm Village scores 3.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Mesa
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
7.2% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$1,553 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mesa
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mesa
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mesa
2.5

How Royal Palm Village compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Royal Palm Village risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.63.6This tracttract 420707Mesa: 3.23.2Mesaparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 82

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 127Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 4.20%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.7%Peak (2001)
  • 11Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040134207072001: 46 filings (7.70/100 renter HHs)2002: 34 filings (5.69/100 renter HHs)2003: 23 filings (3.85/100 renter HHs)2004: 13 filings (2.18/100 renter HHs)2005: 11 filings (1.57/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 76% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Royal Palm Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Royal Palm Village

60% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Maricopa County average of 46.0%. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.

Set annual rent against average income of $57,639 and the ratio lands at 32%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.8/10.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 127 filings here across 5 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2001, when 7.7% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 4.2% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 33rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.4/10.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Maricopa County average of 3.7 closely. Average gross rent is $1,553, close to the Mesa average.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013420707

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013420707?

Census tract 04013420707 in the Royal Palm Village neighborhood scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013420707?

Median gross rent is $1,553/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013420707?

7.2% of residents in tract 04013420707 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,211.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013420707?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 82th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 72th, household 72th, minority 42th, housing 93th.
Q5

Is tract 04013420707 considered part of Royal Palm Village?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013420707 fall within Royal Palm Village (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013420707?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 127 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013420707 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.20% of renter households, peaking at 7.7% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013420707 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013420707 compare to Mesa overall?

Tract 04013420707 scores 3.6/10, higher than the parent city of Mesa at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mesa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Mesa

Top eight tracts in Mesa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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