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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Royal Palm Village Eviction Risk: Lower , Mesa

Tract 04013420706 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 5,046 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

With a score of 3/10, tract 04013420706 in the Royal Palm Village area of Mesa, AZ reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,046 residents. Cost burden runs around two-thirds here against 46.0% across Maricopa County.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 8% Owners 77%
Tract context
Occupied units1,620
Renter share23.7%
SVI overall0.49
Poverty rate4.4%
Median income$103,000

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 6 tracts In Royal Palm Village
Very Low
Within parent city
5 th percentile
Rank, 5th percentileLowHigh
#126 of 133 tracts In Mesa
Very Low
Within county
21 th percentile
Rank, 21st percentileLowHigh
#794 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Low
Within state
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#1,065 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Mesa and the region

Centroid at 33.4300, -111.7450 · click any tract to drill in

Why Royal Palm Village scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Mesa
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
4.4% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$1,736 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mesa
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mesa
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mesa
2.5

How Royal Palm Village compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Royal Palm Village risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.03.0This tracttract 420706Mesa: 3.23.2Mesaparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 49

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 112Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 9.45%Avg annual filing rate
  • 17.6%Peak (2004)
  • 27Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040134207062001: 15 filings (6.76/100 renter HHs)2002: 14 filings (6.31/100 renter HHs)2003: 17 filings (7.66/100 renter HHs)2004: 39 filings (17.57/100 renter HHs)2005: 27 filings (8.97/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 80% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Royal Palm Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Royal Palm Village

Severe burden reaches 30%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.

Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.1/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 112 filings here across 5 tracked years. SNAP participation runs 6.8% against 15.2% nationally.

Food insecurity runs 10.2% against 17.8% nationally. Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points.

Filings peaked in 2004 at 17.6% of renter households. In a typical year about 9.5% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

At 24% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013420706

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013420706?

Census tract 04013420706 in the Royal Palm Village neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013420706?

Median gross rent is $1,736/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013420706?

4.4% of residents in tract 04013420706 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,046.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013420706?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 49th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 44th, household 75th, minority 43th, housing 37th.
Q5

Is tract 04013420706 considered part of Royal Palm Village?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013420706 fall within Royal Palm Village (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013420706?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 112 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013420706 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.45% of renter households, peaking at 17.6% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013420706 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013420706 compare to Mesa overall?

Tract 04013420706 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Mesa at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mesa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Mesa

Top eight tracts in Mesa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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