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Neighborhood · Ranked #65,113 of 84,120 nationally

Silver Spur Ranch Eviction Risk: Lower , Mesa

Tract 04013420114 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,634 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

Census tract 04013420114 sits in Silver Spur Ranch in Mesa eviction risk, Arizona eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of $1/10. It lands near the 40th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

65% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 20% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,535 monthly, set against $88,920 in average yearly household income, roughly 21% of income at the averages. About 15% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
2.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 5% Owners 86%
Tract context
Occupied units1,434
Renter share14.5%
SVI overall0.43
Poverty rate8.0%
Median income$88,920

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Silver Spur Ranch
Very High
Within parent city
37 th percentile
Rank, 37th percentileLowHigh
#84 of 133 tracts In Mesa
Low
Within county
37 th percentile
Rank, 37th percentileLowHigh
#639 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Low
Within state
30 th percentile
Rank, 30th percentileLowHigh
#1,243 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Mesa and the region

Centroid at 33.4188, -111.6500 · click any tract to drill in

Why Silver Spur Ranch scores 2.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Mesa
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
8.0% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$1,535 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mesa
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mesa
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mesa
2.5

How Silver Spur Ranch compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Silver Spur Ranch risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.62.6This tracttract 420114Mesa: 2.82.8Mesaparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 43

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 200Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 9.97%Avg annual filing rate
  • 13.2%Peak (2002)
  • 37Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040134201142001: 43 filings (11.86/100 renter HHs)2002: 48 filings (13.24/100 renter HHs)2003: 24 filings (6.62/100 renter HHs)2004: 48 filings (13.24/100 renter HHs)2005: 37 filings (4.90/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Silver Spur Ranch. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Silver Spur Ranch

The score leans hardest on eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Mesa eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Maricopa County average of 5.1 and in line with the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 11.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 43rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013420114

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013420114?

Census tract 04013420114 in the Silver Spur Ranch neighborhood scores 2.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013420114?

Median gross rent is $1,535/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013420114?

8.0% of residents in tract 04013420114 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,634.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013420114?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 43th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 60th, household 17th, minority 58th, housing 38th.
Q5

Is tract 04013420114 considered part of Silver Spur Ranch?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013420114 fall within Silver Spur Ranch (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013420114?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 200 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013420114 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.97% of renter households, peaking at 13.2% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013420114 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013420114 compare to Mesa overall?

Tract 04013420114 scores 2.6/10, right in line with the parent city of Mesa at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mesa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Mesa

Top eight tracts in Mesa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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