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Neighborhood · Mesa, AZ

Silver Spur Ranch Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 7,738 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 2.5/10 · range 2.4–2.6

Silver Spur Ranch is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Mesa with 2 census tracts and a population of 7,738 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 2.5/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 73% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 40% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,607/month sits 1% lower than the Mesa citywide average ($1,620).

Risk score
2.5
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Silver Spur Ranch vs Mesa How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
72.7% +125%
Mesa: 32.3%
Average gross rent
$1,607 -1%
Mesa: $1,620
Average HH income
$90,141 +14%
Mesa: $78,779
Poverty rate
6.7% -36%
Mesa: 10.5%
Renter share
9.0% -75%
Mesa: 35.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Silver Spur Ranch and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 2.4–2.6

Why Silver Spur Ranch scores 2.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Rent control risk
73% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
9% renter households · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Economic stress
6.7% below poverty line · Range 1.4–2.0 across tracts
1.7
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.9–3.6 across tracts
3.3
Risk score comparison

Silver Spur Ranch vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Silver Spur Ranch score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Silver Spur Ranch: 2.52.5Silver Spur RanchNeighborhoodParent city: 2.82.8Parent cityhost cityState: 2.72.7Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Silver Spur Ranch

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
04013420114 2.6 3,634 65% $1,535
04013420111 2.4 4,104 80% $1,670
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 52

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 69%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 37%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 54%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 33%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Silver Spur Ranch

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 271Total filings (sum)
  • 12.68%Avg annual filing rate
  • 24.3%Peak year (2004)
  • 12.09%Latest filed (2005)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Silver Spur Ranch

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Silver Spur Ranch

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Silver Spur Ranch?

Silver Spur Ranch scores 2.5/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Silver Spur Ranch compare to Mesa overall?

Silver Spur Ranch scores 0.3 points lower than Mesa overall (2.8/10). Renters spend 73% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,607 vs $1,620.
Q3

What is the average rent in Silver Spur Ranch?

Average gross rent in Silver Spur Ranch is $1,607/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 73% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Silver Spur Ranch residents are renters?

9% of Silver Spur Ranch households are renter-occupied (vs 36% in Mesa). The neighborhood has 7,738 residents.
Q5

Is Silver Spur Ranch a high social-vulnerability area?

Silver Spur Ranch sits in the 52nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Silver Spur Ranch have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Silver Spur Ranch is census tract 04013420114 (score 2.6/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 2.4 to 2.6, a spread of 0.2 points.
Q7

How safe is Silver Spur Ranch for landlords?

Silver Spur Ranch carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (2.5/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Mesa as a whole (2.8/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Silver Spur Ranch?

Silver Spur Ranch has 8,121 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (62.3%), Hispanic / Latino (34.2%), Other / Multiracial (2.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Silver Spur Ranch

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Mesa

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Silver Spur Ranch.

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