Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #63,308 of 84,120 nationally
Suntrails Eviction Risk: Lower , Mesa
Tract 04013422501 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 6,368 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Tract 04013422501 sits in the Suntrails area of Mesa eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.2/10. Population here is 6,368. Severe burden reaches 32%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16%
Stable renters 11%
Owners 73%
Tract context
Occupied units2,176
Renter share27.3%
SVI overall0.39
Poverty rate11.5%
Median income$91,667
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
49
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
45
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
44
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Mesa and the region
Centroid at 33.4009, -111.7625 · click any tract to drill in
Why Suntrails scores 3.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Mesa
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
11.5% poverty · this tract
2.9
Supply constraint
$1,794 rent vs county FMR
4.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mesa
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mesa
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mesa
2.5
How Suntrails compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 39
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 43%Socioeconomic
- 30%Household composition
- 47%Racial/ethnic minority
- 40%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 303Total filings over 5 yrs
- 13.23%Avg annual filing rate
- 15.8%Peak (2005)
- 66Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Suntrails. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.3%Housing insecurity
- 7.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.5%Food insecurity
- 10.9%SNAP enrollment
- 8.6%Transit barriers
- 12.3%No health insurance
- 16.6%Frequent mental distress
- 28.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Suntrails
The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. 58% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Maricopa County average of 46.0%.
On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.2/10.
The filing record is not thin: 303 evictions over 5 years of observation. Average gross rent is $1,794, 11% above the Mesa average. The worst year on record was 2005, when 15.8% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 13.2% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 25th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
It tracks the Maricopa County average of 3.7 closely.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013422501
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013422501?
Census tract 04013422501 in the Suntrails neighborhood scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013422501?
Median gross rent is $1,794/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013422501?
11.5% of residents in tract 04013422501 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,368.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013422501?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 39th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 43th, household 30th, minority 47th, housing 40th.
Q5
Is tract 04013422501 considered part of Suntrails?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013422501 fall within Suntrails (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013422501?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 303 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013422501 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.23% of renter households, peaking at 15.8% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013422501 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013422501 compare to Mesa overall?
Tract 04013422501 scores 3.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Mesa at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mesa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Mesa
Top eight tracts in Mesa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
Mesa Patios
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013422106
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Arizona Cowboy
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Mesa Patios
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013422107
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Royal Palm Village
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Royal Palm Village
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Arizona Cowboy
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
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