Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #48,956 of 84,120 nationally
Venture Out Eviction Risk: Moderate , Mesa
Tract 04013422607 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,762 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
04013422607 is a census tract in the Venture Out area of Mesa, AZ. It scores 4/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,762 residents. Severe burden reaches 40%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 12%
Owners 70%
Tract context
Occupied units2,239
Renter share29.9%
SVI overall0.38
Poverty rate9.3%
Median income$52,484
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
71
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
65
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
65
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Mesa and the region
Centroid at 33.4011, -111.7279 · click any tract to drill in
Why Venture Out scores 4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Mesa
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
9.3% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$1,241 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mesa
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mesa
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mesa
2.5
How Venture Out compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 38
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 30%Socioeconomic
- 36%Household composition
- 31%Racial/ethnic minority
- 61%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 166Total filings over 5 yrs
- 5.74%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.2%Peak (2001)
- 20Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 61% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Venture Out. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.1%Housing insecurity
- 3.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.1%Food insecurity
- 6.9%SNAP enrollment
- 5.0%Transit barriers
- 9.0%No health insurance
- 10.1%Frequent mental distress
- 41.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Venture Out
Cost burden runs 61% here against 46.0% across Maricopa County. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.
Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.4/10. Average gross rent is $1,241, 23% below the Mesa average. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 166 filings here across 5 tracked years.
SNAP participation runs 6.9% against 15.2% nationally. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.1% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
Filings peaked in 2001 at 9.2% of renter households. In a typical year about 5.7% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #48,956 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013422607
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013422607?
Census tract 04013422607 in the Venture Out neighborhood scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013422607?
Median gross rent is $1,241/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013422607?
9.3% of residents in tract 04013422607 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,762.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013422607?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 38th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 30th, household 36th, minority 31th, housing 61th.
Q5
Is tract 04013422607 considered part of Venture Out?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013422607 fall within Venture Out (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013422607?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 166 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013422607 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.74% of renter households, peaking at 9.2% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013422607 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013422607 compare to Mesa overall?
Tract 04013422607 scores 4/10, higher than the parent city of Mesa at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mesa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Mesa
Top eight tracts in Mesa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
Buckhorn
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Dobson Shores
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Velda Rose Estates
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Culdesac Tempe
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Mesa Patios
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Arizona Cowboy
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Mesa Patios
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013422106
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
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