Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Venture Out Eviction Risk: Lower , Mesa
Tract 04013422637 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,408 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
With a score of 3/10, tract 04013422637 in the Venture Out area of Mesa, AZ reads lower for landlord eviction risk. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%
Stable renters 15%
Owners 77%
Tract context
Occupied units1,228
Renter share23.5%
SVI overall0.56
Poverty rate3.0%
Median income$103,056
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
18
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
40
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Mesa and the region
Centroid at 33.4003, -111.7144 · click any tract to drill in
Why Venture Out scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Mesa
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
3.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,728 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mesa
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mesa
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mesa
2.5
How Venture Out compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 56
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 50%Socioeconomic
- 35%Household composition
- 41%Racial/ethnic minority
- 76%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 137Total filings over 5 yrs
- 10.25%Avg annual filing rate
- 14.0%Peak (2002)
- 25Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 19% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Venture Out. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.6%Housing insecurity
- 4.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.1%Food insecurity
- 6.4%SNAP enrollment
- 6.2%Transit barriers
- 8.8%No health insurance
- 15.0%Frequent mental distress
- 24.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Venture Out
On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10. Against Maricopa County at 46.0%, 35% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. The severe-burden share is 16%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. SNAP participation runs 6.4% against 15.2% nationally.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 137 filings here across 5 tracked years. Food insecurity runs 10.1% against 17.8% nationally. Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points.
The worst year on record was 2002, when 14.0% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 10.3% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 23% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013422637
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013422637?
Census tract 04013422637 in the Venture Out neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013422637?
Median gross rent is $1,728/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013422637?
3.0% of residents in tract 04013422637 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,408.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013422637?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 56th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 50th, household 35th, minority 41th, housing 76th.
Q5
Is tract 04013422637 considered part of Venture Out?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013422637 fall within Venture Out (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013422637?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 137 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013422637 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.25% of renter households, peaking at 14.0% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013422637 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013422637 compare to Mesa overall?
Tract 04013422637 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Mesa at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mesa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Mesa
Top eight tracts in Mesa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
04013421902
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013522802
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013422001
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
McQueen
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013941300
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013421302
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013422102
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Dobson Shores
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
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