Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Cimarron Eviction Risk: Lower , Phoenix
Tract 04013116738 ·
Maricopa, AZ · pop 6,653 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
With a score of 3/10, tract 04013116738 in the Cimarron area of Phoenix, AZ reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 6,653 residents. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%Stable renters 14%Owners 69%
Tract context
Occupied units2,847
Renter share31.1%
SVI overall0.28
Poverty rate2.8%
Median income$106,586
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0th percentile
#6 of 6 tracts In Cimarron
Very Low
Within parent city
13th percentile
#331 of 379 tracts In Phoenix
Very Low
Within county
29th percentile
#715 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Low
Within state
40th percentile
#1,065 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Phoenix and the region
Centroid at 33.3730, -112.0017 · click any tract to drill in
Why Cimarron scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
2.8% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,580 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0
How Cimarron compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 28
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
8.7%Housing insecurity
4.8%Utility-shutoff threat
10.2%Food insecurity
6.2%SNAP enrollment
6.0%Transit barriers
8.7%No health insurance
12.9%Frequent mental distress
21.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Cimarron
On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.
Against Maricopa County at 46.0%, 54% of renters here are cost-burdened. 14% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
SNAP participation runs 6.2% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 10.2% against 17.8% nationally.
Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points. Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.5/10.
Rent consumes only 18% of average household income of $106,586, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013116738
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013116738?
Census tract 04013116738 in the Cimarron neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013116738?
Median gross rent is $1,580/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013116738?
2.8% of residents in tract 04013116738 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,653.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013116738?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 28th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 25th, household 15th, minority 68th, housing 43th.
Q5
Is tract 04013116738 considered part of Cimarron?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013116738 fall within Cimarron (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 04013116738 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 04013116738 compare to Phoenix overall?
Tract 04013116738 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Phoenix at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix
Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.