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Neighborhood · Phoenix, AZ

Maryvale Eviction Risk: Moderate

5 census tracts · pop 23,559 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.3/10 · range 3.4–5

Maryvale spans 5 census tracts of Phoenix, AZ, population 23,559. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 4.3/10, in the Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 47% against 31.0% citywide, putting Maryvale 15.9% over its own city.

The severe-burden share is 29%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Pulling the other way is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. 26.6% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt.

Scores across the 5 constituent tracts range from 3.4 to 5. A 1.6-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here. Food insecurity affects 30.1% of adults, 12.3 points above the national rate.

Court records carry 985 eviction filings across its 4 observed tracts. Well under the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty, at 3/10.

Filing activity peaked in 2005 at 45.1% of renter households. On the softer side is housing-court posture, at 3/10. That places it #34 of 113 neighborhoods in Phoenix.

Judgments average 9.8% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. For a like-for-like read, Moon Valley Canyon and Paradise City score within a fraction of it. Average gross rent runs $1,559, close to the Phoenix average.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.6 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
4.3
Moderate
5 tracts · population-weighted
Maryvale vs Phoenix How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
46.9% +51%
Phoenix: 31.0%
Average gross rent
$1,559 -1%
Phoenix: $1,582
Average HH income
$73,454 -5%
Phoenix: $77,041
Poverty rate
14.8% +4%
Phoenix: 14.3%
Renter share
32.1% -25%
Phoenix: 42.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Maryvale and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 5 tracts span score 3.4–5

Why Maryvale scores 4.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Rent control risk
47% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
32% renter households · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Economic stress
14.8% below poverty line · Range 1.8–5.2 across tracts
3.7
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.0–4.1 across tracts
3.0
Risk score comparison

Maryvale vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Maryvale score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Maryvale: 4.34.3MaryvaleNeighborhoodParent city: 3.63.6Parent cityhost cityState: 3.63.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Maryvale?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.6 points from 3.4 to 5. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

5 tracts in Maryvale

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
04013109702 5 5,918 41% $1,372
04013112523 5 4,435 65% $1,592
04013082010 3.9 5,517 41% $1,777
04013109705 3.8 1,869 73% $1,764
04013082008 3.4 5,820 37% $1,452
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 72

Pop-weighted across 5 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 82%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 73%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 88%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 30%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Maryvale

Aggregated across 4 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 985Total filings (sum)
  • 21.02%Avg annual filing rate
  • 45.1%Peak year (2005)
  • 18.89%Latest filed (2005)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Maryvale

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Maryvale

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Maryvale?

Maryvale scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier) across 5 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Maryvale compare to Phoenix overall?

Maryvale scores 0.7 points higher than Phoenix overall (3.6/10). Renters spend 47% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,559 vs $1,582.
Q3

What is the average rent in Maryvale?

Average gross rent in Maryvale is $1,559/month (pop-weighted across 5 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Maryvale residents are renters?

32% of Maryvale households are renter-occupied (vs 43% in Phoenix). The neighborhood has 23,559 residents.
Q5

Is Maryvale a high social-vulnerability area?

Maryvale sits in the 72nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Maryvale have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Maryvale is census tract 04013109702 (score 5/10). Across the 5 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.4 to 5, a spread of 1.6 points.
Q7

How safe is Maryvale for landlords?

Maryvale carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.3/10). Pop-weighted across 5 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Phoenix as a whole (3.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Maryvale?

Maryvale has 22,554 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (65.6%), White (non-Hispanic) (14.2%), Black (non-Hispanic) (12%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Maryvale

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Phoenix

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Maryvale.

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