Mayflower Terrace Eviction Risk: Lower , Phoenix

Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. Annualized rent equals 34% of average household income of $61,944, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.4/10. The severe-burden share is 10%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 117 filings here across 5 tracked years.

At $1,771 a month, rents run 12% over what the rest of Phoenix commands. Filings peaked in 2004 at 10.0% of renter households. In a typical year about 8.8% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 35% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 15% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.